MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e474a984a119038f2c55c4702c5153d86aecd3d9c4723d2b4696fbed15e4aec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $546,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $547,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 47c | 300,000$141,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,999.89 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 48c | 208,333$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.82 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 53c | 204,052$107,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,489.33 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 69,759$36,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,566.66 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 65,392$34,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,470.99 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Under | 53c | 57,000$30,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,790 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 53c | 24,262$12,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,403.14 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 52c | 22,222$11,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,666.56 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 53c | 12,244$6,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.96 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 11,716$6,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,623.55 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 10,439$5,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 52c | 5,700$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 4,325$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.23 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 3,298$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 46c | 2,005$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.32 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…4c2abacked Under | 47c | 1,811$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 42c | 1,803$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.59 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 1,489$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.7 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 53c | 951.61$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.32 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 842.24$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.15 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 756.27$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.72 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 674.61$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 23c | 662$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Under | 53c | 640.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.38 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 54c | 562.96$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.96 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 53c | 485.24$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.06 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 53c | 471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 429.87$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 54c | 422.32$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.14 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under | 50c | 392$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 12c | 366.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 29c | 326.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 35c | 296.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 51c | 276$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 42c | 266.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 53c | 255.48$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 235.86$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 53c | 203.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 47c | 191$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 42c | 180.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Under | 53c | 144.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 53c | 144.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 47c | 143.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Under | 44c | 123.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 52c | 121.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f48…a145backed Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 52c | 103.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 54c | 101.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…eebbbacked Under | 54c | 97.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 45c | 96.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 52c | 96.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Under | 53c | 95.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 42c | 90.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 42c | 90.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Over | 43c | 89.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 47c | 89.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 53c | 89.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 53c | 77.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 53c | 76.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 29c | 76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 28c | 69.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 56c | 60.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 28c | 55.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 43c | 52.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 48c | 44.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 53c | 40.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 54c | 40.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 48c | 38.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-5.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.