MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x332abe179f3299984a5162057b2df2363d8598e0577f1c4faa1d8d5041472590
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 1,487$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 66c | 792.91$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 21c | 770.62$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 38c | 491.29$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.69 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 71c | 468.15$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 62c | 376.02$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…6c4abacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 72c | 354.8$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 35c | 275.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 69c | 260.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 33c | 240.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 67c | 199$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 65c | 176.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 75c | 170.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 27c | 160.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 36c | 152.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 64c | 146.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 29c | 142.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 70c | 117.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 71c | 101.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 73c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 34c | 83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…26a0backed Under | 71c | 73.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 35c | 68.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 67c | 68.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 52c | 67.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 72c | 61.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 27c | 60.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 28c | 52.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Under | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…65dfbacked Over | 34c | 43.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 31c | 38.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Over | 35c | 37.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 37c | 35.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…612bbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 45c | 23.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…bea1backed Under | 72c | 20.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 66c | 20.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-5.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.