TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Rockiesof Kansas City Royals, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfc08…a137backed Kansas City Royals37c60,611$22,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,669.7831958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals44c31,414$13,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,956.054,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals31c28,371$8,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,845.542,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Colorado Rockies64c26,321$16,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,574.2285645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Colorado Rockies55c24,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.9977053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies62c19,178$11,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,379.810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies72c16,044$11,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,509.8711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals46c15,215$6,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9991,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Colorado Rockies54c13,992$7,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,436.2446949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd47d…322bbacked Kansas City Royals49c6,174$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.0213552.6%71 W · 64 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Colorado Rockies54c6,007$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,773.2598149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Colorado Rockies55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Kansas City Royals46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.0828042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Kansas City Royals46c3,130$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.844953.7%241 W · 208 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Colorado Rockies51c2,843$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.1425351.8%131 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals33c2,791$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.858,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Colorado Rockies54c2,715$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.8226054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a55…5a54backed Kansas City Royals45c2,588$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.665240.4%21 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Kansas City Royals6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Kansas City Royals46c2,173$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5814841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Kansas City Royals49c1,921$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.464250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals37c1,740$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.398,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals31c1,657$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.434,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Kansas City Royals46c1,556$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.9289153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals46c1,295$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.026,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals45c1,158$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.715,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Colorado Rockies57c1,067$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.3125447.6%121 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Colorado Rockies52c923.08$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.0817961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kansas City Royals45c909.09$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.091,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Colorado Rockies55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0998149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Kansas City Royals46c860.51$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…1cbebacked Kansas City Royals6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Colorado Rockies54c780$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.961,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals29c644.85$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.982,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Colorado Rockies49c622.75$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.669351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Kansas City Royals46c543.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0148851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fb…c3cabacked Colorado Rockies74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.543976.9%30 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Colorado Rockies61c529.41$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4724252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals47c503$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.4179442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Colorado Rockies54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2309048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies54c495.01$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.532,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Kansas City Royals34c488.35$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.17237.5%27 W · 45 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Kansas City Royals46c468.09$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3248147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals51c437.28$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.014,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Colorado Rockies54c425.45$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7137052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals48c416.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.161,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals46c380$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.81,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Kansas City Royals47c343.04$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16044245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Kansas City Royals46c326.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0146152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies58c325.76$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.758,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Kansas City Royals16c305.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.482,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Kansas City Royals46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.542550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Kansas City Royals47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Colorado Rockies54c299.42$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.523,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Kansas City Royals46c279.72$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6737546.9%176 W · 199 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals25c277.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8695045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Colorado Rockies59c264.83$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5858060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b22…9431backed Colorado Rockies55c239.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Kansas City Royals44c225.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Colorado Rockies55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.181,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba9…0fadbacked Kansas City Royals47c214.91$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.013969.2%27 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Kansas City Royals47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9424246.7%113 W · 129 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Colorado Rockies54c197$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5291749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Kansas City Royals46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.453655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Colorado Rockies55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8213057.7%75 W · 55 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Kansas City Royals33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021343.2%92 W · 121 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Colorado Rockies55c181.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.816749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Colorado Rockies55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8139846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ffd…3ef3backed Kansas City Royals8c164.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Kansas City Royals49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8034255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Kansas City Royals46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7080855.3%447 W · 361 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Colorado Rockies62c147$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8635668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies62c146$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.294,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Kansas City Royals46c142.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies56c135$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.945,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Colorado Rockies64c128.23$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3848660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Kansas City Royals49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Kansas City Royals49c118.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2279543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697c…0b87backed Kansas City Royals45c111.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031046.5%144 W · 166 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x137f…968dbacked Kansas City Royals46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016943.2%73 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48e…acf3backed Kansas City Royals46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014144%62 W · 79 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab61…fb2bbacked Kansas City Royals46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508647.7%41 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Kansas City Royals46c104.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Colorado Rockies69c103.48$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0816250.6%82 W · 80 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Kansas City Royals35c103.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9930934.3%106 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Kansas City Royals46c103$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3857758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Colorado Rockies52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4817346.2%80 W · 93 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Colorado Rockies55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4569547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Kansas City Royals45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Colorado Rockies54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4626444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kansas City Royals37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3258746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Kansas City Royals34c94.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked Colorado Rockies55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.917653.9%41 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Colorado Rockies66c80.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0320657.8%119 W · 87 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Kansas City Royals45c74.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6145952.9%243 W · 216 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies78c73.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.584,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Colorado Rockies70c70.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.