MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb05ecaa858b0fb06a9ba7ba3cca3144f4f066c7c73b4b4b4d6fe17a0f31006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 46,529$22,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,799.14 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 51c | 26,652$13,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,059.63 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 50c | 10,085$5,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,042.37 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 10,066$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,154.92 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 8,524$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Over | 53c | 5,699$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.58 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 51c | 5,699$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.51 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 56c | 2,343$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 49c | 2,219$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.4 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 1,741$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.74 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 1,342$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.52 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 1,024$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 976.67$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 687$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.63 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 583.43$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.76 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 51c | 504.14$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.39 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked Under | 51c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 56c | 369.04$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.26 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 49c | 359$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 72c | 296.11$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 273.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 54c | 221.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 217.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Under | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 43c | 207.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 43c | 161.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 135.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 51c | 105.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 36c | 99.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 55c | 98.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 54c | 94.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 53c | 89.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 87.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 50c | 83.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 59c | 83.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 30c | 60.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 46c | 54.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…0c2bbacked Under | 51c | 53.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 51c | 45.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 53c | 44.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 50c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 37.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 37.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 44c | 35.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 41c | 35.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 48c | 30.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 40c | 29.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Over | 49c | 25.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 51c | 24.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 56c | 22.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Over | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 51c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Under | 66c | 21.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 47c | 21.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 56c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 52c | 20.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 57c | 18.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.