CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs SportsBetExpert - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x833443ea7c30dbea73961076e6b043b00795a220456bda69cf7d4d26ea82dee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, SportsBetExpert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked NRG | 66c | 599.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NRG | 68c | 458.35$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed SportsBetExpert | 9c | 381.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed SportsBetExpert | 30c | 355$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked NRG | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NRG | 69c | 210.24$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked SportsBetExpert | 32c | 204$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed SportsBetExpert | 50c | 200.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SportsBetExpert | 28c | 184.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SportsBetExpert | 42c | 161.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SportsBetExpert | 18c | 152.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked SportsBetExpert | 41c | 149.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed NRG | 77c | 142.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed SportsBetExpert | 21c | 138.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SportsBetExpert | 19c | 117$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed NRG | 68c | 115.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SportsBetExpert | 22c | 106.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SportsBetExpert | 32c | 101.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed NRG | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SportsBetExpert | 15c | 83.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed SportsBetExpert | 27c | 81.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SportsBetExpert | 19c | 72.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…d246backed NRG | 75c | 65.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 263 | 68.8%181 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SportsBetExpert | 21c | 62.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462e…97c4backed NRG | 78c | 43.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed NRG | 69c | 40.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked SportsBetExpert | 29c | 33.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…6c8bbacked NRG | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed NRG | 74c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked NRG | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed NRG | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked NRG | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NRG | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs SportsBetExpert - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs SportsBetExpert - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+1.5)NRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.