TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galorysof Galorys, MEIA NOITE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x490a…1d4bbacked MEIA NOITE29c2,451$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.4629235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf177…5f6abacked MEIA NOITE40c2,421$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.482060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MEIA NOITE26c2,235$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.641,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Galorys71c1,711$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.251,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Galorys50c1,681$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.61,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MEIA NOITE8c1,500$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.982,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Galorys68c1,322$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.351,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed MEIA NOITE25c1,208$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30260434.1%206 W · 398 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Galorys72c1,160$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32016858.9%99 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed MEIA NOITE1c1,154$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3913242.4%56 W · 76 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked MEIA NOITE29c1,103$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.8747836.8%176 W · 302 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MEIA NOITE28c1,087$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.375,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Galorys73c951.35$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.013,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Galorys69c890.15$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.992,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed MEIA NOITE29c811.62$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3777351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MEIA NOITE47c795.67$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.023,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked MEIA NOITE50c745.01$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.6197952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Galorys71c630.6$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6751842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Galorys55c545.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0218444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked MEIA NOITE50c526.61$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.8131239.7%124 W · 188 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Galorys63c519.74$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7967645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed MEIA NOITE9c498.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7115831%49 W · 109 L+0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked Galorys58c491.44$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1214355.2%79 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed MEIA NOITE33c456.17$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2273854.5%402 W · 336 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Galorys52c408.23$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2319061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Galorys78c407.19$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7140558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed MEIA NOITE43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5932746.5%152 W · 175 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed MEIA NOITE24c396.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5324943%107 W · 142 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Galorys65c391.34$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3342154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MEIA NOITE25c387.29$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.684,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MEIA NOITE26c384.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.626,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked MEIA NOITE47c381.37$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6174633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Galorys73c358.87$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4140175.1%301 W · 100 L+20.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MEIA NOITE34c333.49$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.84,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…3ff8backed Galorys66c330$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9713649.3%67 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Galorys52c320$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.830049.3%148 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed MEIA NOITE17c312.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2169732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed MEIA NOITE30c299.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9139040.8%159 W · 231 L+30.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MEIA NOITE29c290.84$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.342,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24cc…0927backed Galorys76c263.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6412355.3%68 W · 55 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MEIA NOITE48c232.39$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.575,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Galorys72c230$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Galorys52c218.58$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10566072.4%478 W · 182 L+117.6wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MEIA NOITE48c217.61$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.82,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked MEIA NOITE50c214.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8945138.4%173 W · 278 L-29.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked MEIA NOITE19c213$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.731,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed MEIA NOITE50c209.44$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2313337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MEIA NOITE29c203.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.497,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Galorys64c202.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0754850%274 W · 274 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed Galorys71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfb5…480abacked MEIA NOITE40c193.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.621637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Galorys76c178.63$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8715045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Galorys69c173.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.731,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Galorys64c167.15$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4319353.9%104 W · 89 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76ed…7817backed MEIA NOITE33c152.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025635.5%91 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Galorys59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.92365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Galorys51c149.84$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.831,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Galorys73c143.39$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7246354%250 W · 213 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Galorys61c137.28$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.542,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a1d…3fa1backed Galorys74c134.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.39977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Galorys72c128.14$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8832158.3%187 W · 134 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Galorys58c125$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.614,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Galorys43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.473548.4%356 W · 379 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked MEIA NOITE29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.839338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Galorys44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.645721.1%12 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked MEIA NOITE30c109.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1463057.1%360 W · 270 L+40.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Galorys43c105$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8518636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked MEIA NOITE29c105$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51,31851.7%682 W · 636 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked MEIA NOITE30c104.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.692,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed MEIA NOITE42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7444839.1%175 W · 273 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Galorys64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3693261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Galorys72c98.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3914068.6%96 W · 44 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Galorys72c98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4415044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MEIA NOITE39c97.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.83,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Galorys71c95.19$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6137848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5f…0689backed MEIA NOITE35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.59142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed Galorys51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3920553.7%110 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf4…0e3dbacked MEIA NOITE43c78.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.916043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked Galorys72c78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8416660.8%101 W · 65 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Galorys51c76.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7126939%105 W · 164 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed MEIA NOITE27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed MEIA NOITE50c74.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0724451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Galorys49c70.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0738838.7%150 W · 238 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked MEIA NOITE51c68.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1510438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Galorys73c65.54$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.481764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed MEIA NOITE43c64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2243448.4%210 W · 224 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Galorys60c61.44$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.412,60352.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MEIA NOITE39c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.682,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47ca…e92bbacked Galorys54c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3514658.2%85 W · 61 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc40e…1a33backed Galorys68c59.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc852…f07dbacked Galorys42c58.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd8…d64cbacked Galorys68c57.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.471266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed MEIA NOITE28c57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9632544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Galorys53c56.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.334941.5%145 W · 204 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…3342backed Galorys56c53.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.374872.9%35 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0645…a8a7backed MEIA NOITE29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…c576backed MEIA NOITE28c50.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.113441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked MEIA NOITE34c50.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Galorys67c50.01$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.752,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked MEIA NOITE34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0323056.1%129 W · 101 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.