TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bonn: Max Houkes vs Roberto Carballes Baena

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Roberto Carballes Baenaof Max Houkes, Roberto Carballes Baena
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$326,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$369,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Max Houkes10c200,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.961,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Roberto Carballes Baena53c37,969$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,968.7774439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Max Houkes42c6,009$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.83,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Max Houkes41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0254,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Max Houkes46c2,093$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97071729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Max Houkes41c1,341$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Max Houkes41c1,341$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Max Houkes40c1,300$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52038033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena57c1,124$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.794,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Houkes46c943.26$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.58,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Max Houkes37c869.99$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.322346.6%104 W · 119 L+15.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Max Houkes42c851.62$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.762,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Max Houkes44c845.61$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.073,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Max Houkes41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32826441.7%110 W · 154 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Max Houkes46c655.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014151.1%72 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Roberto Carballes Baena56c604.27$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4233551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Max Houkes42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Max Houkes43c499.11$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.887,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Max Houkes43c480$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.41,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Max Houkes44c454$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7644442.3%188 W · 256 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena60c415.89$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.355,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Roberto Carballes Baena62c405.71$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.331,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena31c357.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.692,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed Roberto Carballes Baena56c357.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.323636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Roberto Carballes Baena58c351$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4218246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Roberto Carballes Baena47c335.6$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8728738.3%110 W · 177 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Max Houkes37c316.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2967144.7%300 W · 371 L+30.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Max Houkes42c299.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9951744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Max Houkes44c289.04$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.184,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Roberto Carballes Baena56c285.71$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7117942.5%76 W · 103 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Roberto Carballes Baena62c261.87$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5115946.5%74 W · 85 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena57c259.65$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6558931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…2ac6backed Roberto Carballes Baena72c235.2$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.213661.8%84 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Max Houkes44c227.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Roberto Carballes Baena51c208.15$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7790335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena74c199.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.131,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Max Houkes19c181.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.642,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Max Houkes43c171.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.712,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Max Houkes42c170$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.553,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena57c170$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.14652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Max Houkes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010648.1%51 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Max Houkes42c166$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7244851.6%231 W · 217 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Max Houkes25c155.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.843,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Max Houkes40c150.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018731%58 W · 129 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2e…8895backed Roberto Carballes Baena75c134$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Max Houkes42c126.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.21,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x065c…47debacked Roberto Carballes Baena58c126.4$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6113850.7%70 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Roberto Carballes Baena64c124.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.472,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Max Houkes43c124$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.011,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92e…3d53backed Max Houkes44c122.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+69.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Max Houkes49c108.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Roberto Carballes Baena56c107$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.081,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Max Houkes42c100.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.645,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…a656backed Roberto Carballes Baena57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437361.6%45 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Roberto Carballes Baena74c99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6843144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Max Houkes42c95.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Max Houkes43c94.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4542341.4%175 W · 248 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Roberto Carballes Baena67c93.28$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7850268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Roberto Carballes Baena57c90.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9431347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Max Houkes38c89.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.239751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Max Houkes39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3546440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ea6…9223backed Max Houkes13c89.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.556642.4%28 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Max Houkes46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena64c84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6434864.1%223 W · 125 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae75…9fd7backed Roberto Carballes Baena75c83.84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.966248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Max Houkes40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.313,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Roberto Carballes Baena62c78.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.496,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Max Houkes43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.11,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bb…8fb8backed Max Houkes44c63.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Roberto Carballes Baena61c59.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4916354%88 W · 75 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Max Houkes42c59.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7973048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Roberto Carballes Baena73c53.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2978957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Roberto Carballes Baena60c53.65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5255941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a9…c576backed Roberto Carballes Baena77c51.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8294…d7dfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.88366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Max Houkes43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Max Houkes47c49.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.481,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Roberto Carballes Baena32c46.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.671,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Max Houkes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Max Houkes44c45.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9921536.7%79 W · 136 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Max Houkes44c45.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017140.9%70 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Max Houkes38c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.192352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4a…ad4cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4810438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5429…83c2backed Max Houkes27c40.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120128.4%57 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Roberto Carballes Baena78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8672147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf61…8633backed Roberto Carballes Baena57c38.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked Roberto Carballes Baena63c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1424348.1%117 W · 126 L-25.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5b60backed Roberto Carballes Baena57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0911559.1%68 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd9…8c42backed Roberto Carballes Baena58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d3…392abacked Roberto Carballes Baena57c33.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Max Houkes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556337.3%210 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Max Houkes40c32.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.976,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Max Houkes43c31.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0882…dceabacked Max Houkes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Max Houkes43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.930644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Roberto Carballes Baena68c29.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3de…e9bdbacked Roberto Carballes Baena58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Roberto Carballes Baena57c25.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.255347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3d…31b8backed Max Houkes43c25.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.961631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Roberto Carballes Baena59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1552552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.