Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9507141a39ba4bfc2ca636a8a55998cbf378d36db99556281aecffef2dacff71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof GLYPH, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 16c | 2,934$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.5 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GLYPH | 80c | 2,761$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.49 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GLYPH | 66c | 1,403$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.53 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 1,212$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.28 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked GLYPH | 57c | 1,134$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b19…e58ebacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 900$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 779.79$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 728.5$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH | 78c | 603.28$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed GLYPH | 79c | 520$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed GLYPH | 69c | 431.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 378.16$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GLYPH | 52c | 323.93$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.05 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity | 11c | 322.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 287.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 266.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed GLYPH | 79c | 259.24$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 242.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 216.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed GLYPH | 55c | 181$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed GLYPH | 62c | 175.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed GLYPH | 58c | 170.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GLYPH | 68c | 166.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked GLYPH | 57c | 160.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH | 74c | 149.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Zero Tenacity | 10c | 145.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 142.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Zero Tenacity | 16c | 137.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -73%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zero Tenacity | 22c | 137.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 119.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 177 | 33.3%59 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 111.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…c576backed GLYPH | 79c | 99.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…b974backed GLYPH | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 88.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked GLYPH | 44c | 82.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked GLYPH | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked GLYPH | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 303 | 51.2%155 W · 148 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 67.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 66.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 62.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GLYPH | 73c | 57.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed GLYPH | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed GLYPH | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 224 | 62.1%139 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 43.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed GLYPH | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed GLYPH | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed GLYPH | 58c | 36.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked GLYPH | 55c | 31.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked GLYPH | 78c | 27.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed GLYPH | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GLYPH | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked GLYPH | 57c | 21.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed GLYPH | 57c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked GLYPH | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 19.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GLYPH | 58c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed GLYPH | 58c | 17.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…74b7backed GLYPH | 75c | 16.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Cthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerGLYPH won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
- Game Handicap: GLYPH (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)GLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.