TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GLYPHof GLYPH, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed GLYPH60c24,511$14,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,779.811,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Zero Tenacity38c21,477$8,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,260.6189741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Zero Tenacity54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.9347646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed GLYPH65c14,000$9,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,964.6330667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Zero Tenacity40c12,029$4,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,758.5732549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked GLYPH64c10,187$6,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,702.8153451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked GLYPH55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50024246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Zero Tenacity36c8,765$3,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,137.5471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed GLYPH63c7,968$4,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984.121155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81c3…d67dbacked GLYPH58c6,632$3,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.37045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Zero Tenacity39c6,341$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.2769644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Zero Tenacity45c6,199$2,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.430452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed GLYPH52c5,805$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.3316553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Zero Tenacity37c5,390$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.4395342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Zero Tenacity10c5,166$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.7365625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked GLYPH43c4,522$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.2512858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked GLYPH73c4,117$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.5965863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Zero Tenacity25c3,415$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.8725446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked GLYPH67c3,352$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.3392056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Zero Tenacity34c3,308$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.841,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad42…6031backed GLYPH46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.878648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed GLYPH51c2,968$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.9824255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Zero Tenacity43c2,507$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.7123435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Zero Tenacity16c2,427$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0118660.8%113 W · 73 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed GLYPH61c2,359$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.4630357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed GLYPH55c2,173$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.7834051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Zero Tenacity40c2,120$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.8219456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Zero Tenacity50c1,994$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.1548057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed Zero Tenacity21c1,988$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.2320642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Zero Tenacity35c1,938$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68047650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Zero Tenacity44c1,800$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79157449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked GLYPH57c1,796$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.4350347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Zero Tenacity37c1,688$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.7760349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Zero Tenacity33c1,682$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.979859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4d…c1bebacked GLYPH50c1,583$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.391338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed GLYPH66c1,512$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.1650353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb621…03cfbacked GLYPH57c1,404$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.511553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GLYPH68c1,392$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.7369132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3167…32a2backed GLYPH58c1,369$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.0312151.2%62 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e4…2c05backed GLYPH75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3311777.8%91 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GLYPH57c1,281$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.071,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c07dbacked GLYPH68c1,262$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.8412263.1%77 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed GLYPH80c1,186$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.1717249.4%85 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Zero Tenacity63c1,134$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72030356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe390…2b57backed Zero Tenacity51c1,035$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.671258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed GLYPH45c1,010$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.515050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a013backed Zero Tenacity58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5806342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99d6…513fbacked GLYPH53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Zero Tenacity28c999.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28532445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked GLYPH62c959.08$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.7122031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x577b…ad6abacked GLYPH72c943.29$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed GLYPH68c938.35$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7642053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Zero Tenacity20c903.38$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7950850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed GLYPH69c869.57$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.576352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Zero Tenacity38c856.15$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.8689938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Zero Tenacity64c748.25$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7817965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked GLYPH57c664.28$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6410541%43 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked GLYPH61c651.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9917550.9%89 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed Zero Tenacity25c641.51$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3613336.8%49 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed GLYPH54c510.31$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7416055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked GLYPH71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1452676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Zero Tenacity36c455.7$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.041,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked GLYPH61c445.66$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.196645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd19e…d70ebacked Zero Tenacity59c441.7$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6920859.6%124 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked GLYPH68c437.39$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.011526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-61.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked GLYPH71c410.18$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2342146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked GLYPH59c392.01$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.489238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b03…d1f2backed GLYPH46c376.09$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.593151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed GLYPH53c370.8$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.812559.2%74 W · 51 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH68c360.31$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.32,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe05…8b13backed Zero Tenacity14c347.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505939%23 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Zero Tenacity5c341.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.713323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked Zero Tenacity59c339.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022438.8%87 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Zero Tenacity25c330$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.512217.2%21 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked GLYPH68c311.07$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.311,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Zero Tenacity28c310.18$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3529352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24cc…0927backed Zero Tenacity33c306.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008446.4%39 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked GLYPH57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12966848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Zero Tenacity25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511444.7%51 W · 63 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab7d…d04bbacked GLYPH62c300$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1155949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked GLYPH78c298$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5679341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GLYPH68c297.24$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.393546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee45…200abacked GLYPH63c281.91$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2618046.1%83 W · 97 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ce…bf7abacked GLYPH72c276.25$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.210766.4%71 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Zero Tenacity41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f15…7691backed Zero Tenacity60c233$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.82040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d83…dfd7backed Zero Tenacity52c222.5$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed GLYPH69c216.12$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6712065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6ec5…465abacked Zero Tenacity68c205.29$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.383745.9%17 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked GLYPH60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8054659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked GLYPH55c195.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.931,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Zero Tenacity8c194.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7227636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Zero Tenacity32c174.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0253538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GLYPH68c173.89$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.151,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Zero Tenacity39c173.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7231055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d4…a3d5backed GLYPH74c170$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.222954.6%125 W · 104 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed GLYPH59c169.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9115945.9%73 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3b…be27backed Zero Tenacity49c154.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9521047.6%100 W · 110 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2965…89ebbacked GLYPH73c151.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.510251%52 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed GLYPH75c146.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5110651.9%55 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.