CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e777b26daf07e1e1f29f37a32a75716e7dae70dfaa19bf2a903665c55b00864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 2,223$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.51 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sinners | 79c | 1,388$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sinners | 77c | 1,154$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.92 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Sinners | 66c | 1,112$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.75 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 996$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.87 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 876.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Sinners | 67c | 745.53$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.42 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 589.21$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Sinners | 68c | 505$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 456.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…ff46backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 263.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 229.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 226$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Sinners | 77c | 160$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 144.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Sinners | 72c | 123$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 117.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rune Eaters | 11c | 114.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sinners | 65c | 97.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 75.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Sinners | 70c | 61.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Sinners | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Rune Eaters | 18c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 55.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Sinners | 80c | 52.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Sinners | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…2a3cbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Sinners | 68c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Sinners | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Sinners | 72c | 25.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Sinners | 72c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Sinners | 77c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Sinners | 78c | 17.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 247 | 56.7%140 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Sinners | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Sinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.