CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5157ba8f7db6a5696e92f096f1ebff403a8a487e3854e620f84dc2b2bf77990c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0d8…8eafbacked Sinners | 50c | 3,035$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.39 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Sinners | 49c | 2,611$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.32 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…d9f2backed Sinners | 53c | 1,877$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.23 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 1,510$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.02 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 1,185$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.07 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 1,010$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.56 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 998$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 937.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.95 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Sinners | 50c | 694.31$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.11 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 256 | 47.7%122 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 594.37$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ac…e30dbacked Sinners | 50c | 563.82$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Sinners | 51c | 503.98$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.24 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 446.84$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 405$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 376$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…d2ecbacked Sinners | 50c | 322$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 322$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Sinners | 52c | 303.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Sinners | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 203.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 738 | 54.5%402 W · 336 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed Sinners | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Sinners | 54c | 181.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 165.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Sinners | 47c | 126.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 115.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 99.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 99.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Sinners | 51c | 99.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 85.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 46.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 45.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 31.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 232 | 65.1%151 W · 81 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Sinners | 52c | 24.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.