CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88dca49311f69e66077ac8299a054038e0f80a03ff3ee2d81be8c471a1e6660d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 1,681$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.34 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sinners | 73c | 1,610$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.4 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sinners | 72c | 1,081$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.75 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 999.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.18 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Sinners | 75c | 827.46$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.12 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 826.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…9dfcbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 749.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Sinners | 63c | 745.32$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.42 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sinners | 78c | 544.97$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Sinners | 66c | 404.68$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.37 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Sinners | 66c | 313.61$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x717b…a128backed Sinners | 78c | 281.64$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 279.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Sinners | 67c | 182.32$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 179.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 171.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…d80dbacked Sinners | 66c | 156.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Sinners | 74c | 155.01$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Sinners | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Sinners | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 134.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sinners | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sinners | 73c | 84.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Sinners | 63c | 71.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Sinners | 70c | 67.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Sinners | 78c | 61.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Sinners | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Rune Eaters | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sinners | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed Sinners | 63c | 30.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Sinners | 71c | 26.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Sinners | 73c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Sinners | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Sinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.