TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs Sinners (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 15

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, Sinners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed Sinners52c50,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,999.9720354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Sinners51c26,608$13,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,570.1741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked K2750c25,509$12,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,754.335,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Sinners50c24,044$12,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,021.8617951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked K2748c20,160$9,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,483.213043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed K2748c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,800850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed K2748c11,152$5,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,798.7922943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked K2749c8,639$4,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,405.71,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6f…789bbacked K2749c4,020$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.22638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed K2751c3,648$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.941,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Sinners49c3,646$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.6575652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Sinners50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed K2749c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed K2749c1,995$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.769445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…5e63backed Sinners1c1,810$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.15125.5%13 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3016…9ffdbacked Sinners1c1,810$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.16127.9%17 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed K2749c1,654$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.8346555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed K2749c1,563$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.8859755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed K2748c1,088$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.957653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Sinners49c1,041$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.221,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed K2748c990$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.825248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed K2748c908.99$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.3238841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed K2749c900$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45655941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed K2749c680.27$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.945,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f18…1ae2backed K2749c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.242548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked K2749c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30642050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…873ebacked K2750c597$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.55534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed K2752c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9248350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed K2748c510$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.21,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Sinners51c506.57$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1737848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7774…5bfbbacked K2748c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed K2776c471.66$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.968659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked K2767c450.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5132348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked K2749c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2046237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed K2750c362.67$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1113545.2%61 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059d…caf8backed K2751c355.68$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7611348.7%55 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d1d…c307backed K2748c345.27$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.547027.1%19 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sinners4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed K2748c276.65$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8623732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked K2750c255$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0222455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked K2749c236.01$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3715355.6%85 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked K2752c235.62$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.473,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34ec…2711backed K2749c234.69$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.698643%37 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed K2749c233.49$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4910356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Sinners31c217.52$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.114,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Sinners52c217$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8474054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed K2748c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3345244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed K2749c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0877351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed K2749c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0861054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed K2750c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10031761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Sinners50c196.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.042944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Sinners50c174.23$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1244552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed K2775c173.3$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4341475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed K2749c172.77$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1126346.4%122 W · 141 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x503d…04a5backed K2748c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6725751.4%132 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Sinners52c153$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5619030.5%58 W · 132 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Sinners21c142.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.682,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed K2754c139.79$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7983856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked K2749c133$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8365548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed Sinners43c122.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5318037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30b8…0a6cbacked K2749c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d99…9c27backed Sinners50c119.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9514439.6%57 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Sinners32c119.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.312,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked K2752c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3819147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked Sinners50c108.12$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0620957.4%120 W · 89 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed K2749c104.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.081172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Sinners20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked K2749c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5127749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed K2749c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5136057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Sinners52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5258254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e7…2b72backed Sinners35c96.78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.422748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da2…22b6backed K2752c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1538945.8%178 W · 211 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Sinners24c95.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8962248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4f…daa3backed Sinners26c95.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-71.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa24…9f66backed Sinners16c95.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Sinners53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.77856.4%44 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…5addbacked K2752c86.15$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.358662.8%54 W · 32 L+11.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Sinners17c78.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2427438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2770c76.37$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.654,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked K2748c73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9625551.8%132 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed K2749c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4347054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Sinners46c64.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5391945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa28c…0042backed K2749c63.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.155543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Sinners48c62.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0933340.2%134 W · 199 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b04…f8e5backed K2778c59.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.467360.3%44 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked K2752c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6928454.9%156 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked K2769c57.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.72,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f4…9626backed Sinners35c56.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.847451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Sinners19c55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.242,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d9…30debacked K2767c53.89$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.78875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc28b…3683backed K2749c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Sinners52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2667750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Sinners48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Sinners48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c0…c1fbbacked K2771c49.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.548765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed K2750c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2421454.2%116 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x888a…2a3cbacked K2749c46.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.831442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Sinners52c44.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2319051.1%97 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…472ebacked Sinners30c43.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132025%5 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ebd…fddfbacked Sinners52c42.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.