CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e564af19c605b07ed0d425b3a55a0040f06b4f63126f3de124d6294dea57310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ea…ec86backed Sinners | 2c | 2,800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Sinners | 1c | 1,445$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Sinners | 46c | 1,118$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sinners | 44c | 1,046$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.8 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Sinners | 44c | 1,037$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.69 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sinners | 26c | 983.86$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.08 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed Sinners | 36c | 796.33$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked K27 | 64c | 562.56$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed K27 | 41c | 540.69$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked K27 | 34c | 436.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.14 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked K27 | 74c | 407.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked K27 | 76c | 316.13$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…1b78backed Sinners | 8c | 290$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed K27 | 66c | 289.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed K27 | 71c | 257.23$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked K27 | 50c | 215$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed K27 | 37c | 202.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked K27 | 64c | 200.35$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Sinners | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Sinners | 33c | 197.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinners | 23c | 197$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sinners | 61c | 193.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed K27 | 36c | 189.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed K27 | 44c | 147.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed K27 | 46c | 146.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Sinners | 25c | 131$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 224 | 50.9%114 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed K27 | 53c | 123$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed K27 | 41c | 114.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…c931backed K27 | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…d6c5backed K27 | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed K27 | 50c | 96.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked K27 | 32c | 93.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Sinners | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked K27 | 38c | 86.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 208 | 54.8%114 W · 94 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked K27 | 32c | 76.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Sinners | 68c | 74.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Sinners | 35c | 73.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked K27 | 34c | 73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed K27 | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed K27 | 66c | 61.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed K27 | 52c | 53.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…4af9backed Sinners | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Sinners | 56c | 52.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed K27 | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed K27 | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Sinners | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed K27 | 41c | 42.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked K27 | 32c | 35.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…807bbacked K27 | 57c | 33.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked K27 | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 357 | 49.9%178 W · 179 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked K27 | 41c | 26.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 504 | 58.5%295 W · 209 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…2d65backed K27 | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…3fcdbacked K27 | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Sinners | 60c | 23.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Sinners | 72c | 23.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed K27 | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Sinners (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 15K27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.