MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58e9301ccc1a6d9bd5d4478c75cb4d2bc74037a2614a10fc1ece5919849b262a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Over | 55c | 24,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 45c | 17,992$8,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,961.97 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 7,916$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,301.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 56c | 7,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 45c | 6,660$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.97 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 45c | 6,405$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.79 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 5,462$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Under | 44c | 4,800$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 4,709$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.81 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 44c | 3,256$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.25 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 44c | 3,222$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.4 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 44c | 3,200$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.33 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 2,061$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.55 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 53c | 1,941$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.73 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 47c | 1,837$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.61 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 13c | 1,644$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 45c | 1,586$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.03 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,510$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.42 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 1,175$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.75 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 45c | 1,077$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.13 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 46c | 1,054$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.09 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 1,005$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 54c | 1,003$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.62 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 956.8$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 44c | 705$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 44c | 705$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 78c | 688.51$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 55c | 674.65$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.06 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 670.74$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.05 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 576$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.88 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 62c | 487.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.01 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 48c | 483.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.77 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 55c | 454$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 37c | 336.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 53c | 315.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.45 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 45c | 273.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.21 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 46c | 272.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 35c | 260.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 45c | 227$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 60c | 195.89$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 45c | 192.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 186.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…69aabacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 55c | 172.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Under | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 56c | 163$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Over | 57c | 158$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 46c | 151.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked Under | 45c | 126.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 44c | 124$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 120.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 118$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 71c | 117.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 46c | 108.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 56c | 103$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 44c | 100.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 52c | 97.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 95.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 44c | 91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Over | 52c | 87.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 16c | 80.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 18c | 79.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 68c | 73.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…3046backed Under | 44c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 46c | 67.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 52c | 59.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Under | 45c | 59.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 46c | 57.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 57.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 44c | 54.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 34c | 49.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…317bbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 45c | 45.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Under | 44c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Over | 57c | 42.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…7192backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.