MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96b7b7d3e0cbdf03026df329c210374ebc168aaf10f6db57ebd006ac29b3102f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.96 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 7,605$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,371$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.07 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 2,014$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 1,898$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 22c | 1,248$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.79 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 1,231$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.43 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.83 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.83 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,098$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.12 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.83 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 541.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.17 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 452.43$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.64 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 300$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 287.93$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 268.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 254.41$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 228.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 216.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 190.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 181$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 179$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 162.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 156$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 117.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 113.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0903…3d87backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 110.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 95.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…10cabacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 89.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 85.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 84.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 75.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 73.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 71.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 292 | 51%149 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 70.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 69.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 61.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 61.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 61.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…69ddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 59.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 556 | 58.1%323 W · 233 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…4df7backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 57.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 55.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 47.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 47.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 42.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 40.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…0801backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a10…2a2ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbae…9720backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…e4c3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 20.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.