MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b401f248ebd8b789d731e43819b6f8fa608471bbeffb8487e892bee449657d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 23c | 13,461$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,344.36 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 5,447$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.14 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 5,087$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.49 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 3,800$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 2,990$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 1,464$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Chicago Cubs | 22c | 1,174$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.67 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 970.9$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.51 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 812.7$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 800$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -17.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 651.72$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.34 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 585$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.45 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 500$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 27c | 478.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 446.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.83 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 298.35$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.77 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 267.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.64 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 264$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 238.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.26 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 197.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 162.73$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 153.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 153.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 140.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 140.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 131.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 126.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 126$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Chicago Cubs | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 123$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 116.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 89.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 73.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 61.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 47.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 45.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 45.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 42.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 27.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 24.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 292 | 51%149 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 20.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 13.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.