MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76daa37c1941c4bd4c5906e3471f879f662bf5da5f40a29ee0bb33322b9a2dcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof San Diego Padres, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $864,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $837,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $864,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 273,615$122,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,702.99 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 259,251$116,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,180.31 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 188,890$103,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,889.5 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 152,203$65,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,755.88 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 43,319$23,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,825.29 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked San Diego Padres | 0c | 37,831$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…7615backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 34,730$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 23,371$10,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,136.51 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 21,532$9,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,733.35 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 17,627$10,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,581.51 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 14,998$6,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,248.67 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 13,309$6,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,660.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 12,833$7,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,055.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 12,725$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 12,535$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 11,111$6,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,333.27 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked San Diego Padres | 4c | 11,076$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.3 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 10,366$6,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,065.69 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 8,992$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 8,338$3,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.8 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked San Diego Padres | 0c | 7,833$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 7,660$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.2 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 6,658$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 6,557$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.4 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.92 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 5,818$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.78 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 5,462$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 5,150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 4,852$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 4,616$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.65 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 4,096$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.44 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 4,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,593$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.97 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 3,226$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.87 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 3,135$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked San Diego Padres | 1c | 3,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 2,478$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,217$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,190$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.6 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.65 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked San Diego Padres | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.99 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,921$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.01 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,812$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.66 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,795$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,716$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,564$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.08 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,562$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.48 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,292$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.22 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,093$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,054$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.09 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,034$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.61 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,014$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.93 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 949.35$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…3e10backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 941.45$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.84 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 940$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 900$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 830.46$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.29 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 808.64$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.65 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.92 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…10fabacked San Diego Padres | 24c | 799.33$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 782.83$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.83 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 760.95$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.34 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 734.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 699$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.45 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 694.44$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 685.2$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.71 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 680.2$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.72 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 670.36$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.26 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 629.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 575.49$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.95 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 550.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 530$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 518.52$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 470.82$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.86 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 437.96$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.39 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 436.26$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.39 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 418.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.81 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 412.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 410$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 395.56$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 364.09$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-7.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-8.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.