MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e26af5af760386b0ab3a8344311d08f06c68acb90200dbaa47a08cfc9ba527e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 52c | 51,937$26,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,977.49 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 39,347$18,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,433.94 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 60c | 14,203$8,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661.41 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…aa4fbacked Under | 2c | 12,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…9357backed Under | 2c | 12,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Under | 60c | 9,998$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 9,841$5,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,436.36 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 3,831$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.82 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 61c | 3,014$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.54 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 3,007$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.83 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 51c | 2,720$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.67 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 3.9%2 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 1,743$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.68 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 1,537$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.15 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 37c | 1,382$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.36 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 57c | 1,222$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.66 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Under | 2c | 1,209$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,175$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.2 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 43c | 1,108$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.37 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.85 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 40c | 1,021$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.6 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 61c | 770$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.91 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 662.5$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 51c | 648.72$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.38 | 573 | 46.9%269 W · 304 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 54c | 648.14$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…b200backed Under | 51c | 603.22$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.68 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 39c | 490$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.9 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 301 | 50.8%153 W · 148 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 61c | 450$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 54c | 439.12$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Under | 69c | 435.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 35c | 402.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 44c | 400$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.43 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 58c | 365.84$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.03 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 53c | 361.9$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Over | 28c | 339.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 41c | 326.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.05 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 43c | 300.01$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 41c | 266$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.94 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 42c | 240.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 234.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 67c | 225.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Over | 51c | 195.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 33c | 152.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 58c | 151.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 41c | 144.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 58c | 138.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 44c | 137.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 45c | 125.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 54c | 115.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 43c | 96.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 93.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Over | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 45c | 73.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 477 | 52.8%252 W · 225 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 41c | 62.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 54c | 54.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 46c | 53.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 42c | 52.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under | 48c | 52.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e62…716ebacked Under | 31c | 51.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Under | 41c | 51.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Under | 60c | 50.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 62c | 49.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 62c | 43.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 41c | 39.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 425 | 51.8%220 W · 205 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 39c | 36.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 61c | 33.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcb…548fbacked Over | 45c | 32.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed Over | 47c | 29.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 52c | 27.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 53c | 27.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 56c | 25.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 41c | 25.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 53c | 24.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 425 | 48.2%205 W · 220 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 52c | 23.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 46c | 23.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 44c | 22.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…4e4fbacked Under | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…aaaabacked Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 57c | 18.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Under | 65c | 17.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 78c | 15.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-7.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-8.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.