MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb64f0ee76137ad6424a2f2efc73d09d4fc0f2b3bb749a59e614d15d6f2627be9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Athletics, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $717,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $711,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $717,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0954…1e1bbacked Athletics | 41c | 353,151$144,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,792.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 100,000$59,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,000 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 99,999$58,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,999.59 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 55,169$23,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,004.22 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 35,111$17,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,283.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 59c | 26,036$15,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,485.32 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 24,400$14,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,004 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 58c | 19,961$11,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,550.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 19,938$10,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,672.58 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 19,813$11,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,123.31 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…5bd5backed Athletics | 70c | 18,945$13,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,340.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 17,975$10,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,369.78 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 16,559$9,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,789.19 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 15,143$6,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,396.52 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 9,192$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,095.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Athletics | 40c | 8,745$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.93 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 75c | 6,898$5,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,153.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 6,797$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.2 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Kansas City Royals | 15c | 5,858$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,979.36 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 5,298$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.71 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 4,743$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 3,927$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.46 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 3,520$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.75 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 3,000$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,759$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…b186backed Athletics | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +122%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Athletics | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Athletics | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Athletics | 40c | 1,698$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.19 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Athletics | 42c | 1,641$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.19 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Athletics | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 1,496$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.36 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,481$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.53 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Athletics | 70c | 1,477$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.19 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Athletics | 46c | 1,390$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.52 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Athletics | 46c | 1,227$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.42 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Kansas City Royals | 13c | 1,172$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,090$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.13 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Athletics | 44c | 1,050$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Athletics | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Athletics | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 954.78$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.34 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 948.2$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.76 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 912.92$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.3 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 847.46$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.98 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kansas City Royals | 23c | 750$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Athletics | 49c | 700$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Kansas City Royals | 10c | 691.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.3 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Athletics | 75c | 669.32$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.92 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Athletics | 78c | 650$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Athletics | 63c | 592.5$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.73 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 560$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 503.47$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.06 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Athletics | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Athletics | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Athletics | 58c | 491.38$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Athletics | 55c | 480.49$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.46 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Athletics | 46c | 471.13$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 469.3$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 460$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Kansas City Royals | 31c | 456.2$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.75 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Kansas City Royals | 16c | 451.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.02 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Athletics | 44c | 430.04$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Athletics | 41c | 377.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.87 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Athletics | 79c | 377$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.83 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…cc05backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 372.01$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 323.82$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.24 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 318.02$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.42 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Athletics | 69c | 290.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 276.67$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Athletics | 43c | 276$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 276$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…8c73backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 268.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 267.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 264.07$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 76c | 259$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 58c | 254.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Athletics | 75c | 252.73$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 245.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.77 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Athletics | 53c | 224.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Athletics | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 219.24$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 217.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Athletics | 47c | 211$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 203.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Athletics | 38c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.