MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc34adb9b6dad51077f22d18fe9a3df38c50f4800294ecf06c08c98814690f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 13,266$7,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,969.67 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 10,819$4,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,918.77 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…4c2abacked Under | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 36c | 5,251$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.41 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 3,989$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 44c | 3,337$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.37 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 60c | 3,083$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.73 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 54c | 2,277$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.42 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 55c | 1,977$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.34 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 1,858$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.73 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 1,664$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 45c | 1,533$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 1,492$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.12 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 45c | 1,364$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.64 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 1,182$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.45 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 56c | 1,151$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.85 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 47c | 1,025$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.28 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.04 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 1,009$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.39 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 47c | 967.32$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.64 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 45c | 908.94$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.02 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 773$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 43c | 480.04$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.07 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 48c | 426.47$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.2 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 47c | 416.66$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.83 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 45c | 333.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 47c | 279.26$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 276$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 9c | 257$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 47c | 199.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 170.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 60c | 124.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 120.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 114.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 73c | 111$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 54c | 110.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 24c | 109.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 45c | 102.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Over | 47c | 77.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 54c | 69.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Under | 52c | 68.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +10.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Over | 45c | 66.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Over | 45c | 66.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 56c | 52.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 46c | 52.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 51.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 52c | 48.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Under | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Under | 54c | 43.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…6307backed Over | 47c | 43.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Over | 48c | 42.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…c856backed Over | 47c | 39.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Under | 59c | 39.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…6855backed Over | 42c | 26.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 45c | 25.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 22.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 53c | 22.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5this page
- Athletics vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.