MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83175ebfdbce08270cc11b4f741f364f158ba707af2d1d46ed44657f0e60befd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $792,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $775,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 123,776$40,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,930.08 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Houston Astros | 66c | 95,861$62,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,863.65 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 76,920$23,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,953.8 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 57c | 38,321$21,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,915.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 29,827$10,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,536.92 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 25,830$9,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,506.75 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 25,000$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,700 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Houston Astros | 55c | 16,131$8,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,872.12 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 12c | 15,375$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.37 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 14,863$9,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,958 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Houston Astros | 67c | 13,134$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 71c | 12,495$8,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,911.33 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 60c | 12,260$7,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,334.66 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 58c | 11,523$6,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,636.24 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 11,069$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,198.73 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Houston Astros | 67c | 10,677$7,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,144.71 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 10,129$4,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,974.2 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 9,419$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270.53 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…21fabacked Houston Astros | 55c | 9,200$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…8382backed Houston Astros | 67c | 8,048$5,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 7,853$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,941.46 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Houston Astros | 67c | 7,500$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 7,400$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.14 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Houston Astros | 67c | 7,350$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 7,342$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,773.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Houston Astros | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 6,666$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.33 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 6,664$4,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,357.44 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Houston Astros | 67c | 6,642$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450.14 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 6,504$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 56c | 6,035$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.53 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 5,901$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.68 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 5,460$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.18 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 5,429$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.09 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Houston Astros | 56c | 5,256$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.17 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 4,800$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Houston Astros | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Houston Astros | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 4,412$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.76 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 70c | 4,392$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.4 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 4,328$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 4,259$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.84 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Houston Astros | 62c | 4,127$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.49 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,028$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 3,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Houston Astros | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Houston Astros | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 3,123$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Houston Astros | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.98 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Houston Astros | 29c | 2,840$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.45 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 22c | 2,687$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.09 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 66c | 2,618$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef6b…32e1backed Houston Astros | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Houston Astros | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 48c | 2,371$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 2,311$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.08 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Houston Astros | 51c | 2,255$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 2,130$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.66 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Houston Astros | 70c | 2,090$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.24 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Houston Astros | 51c | 1,790$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 1,765$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.08 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 66c | 1,682$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.6 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa013…2f8cbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 1,531$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.97 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Houston Astros | 72c | 1,509$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.27 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Houston Astros | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Houston Astros | 69c | 1,457$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…1b88backed Houston Astros | 15c | 1,445$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…35d9backed Houston Astros | 65c | 1,392$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 1,349$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.69 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Houston Astros | 31c | 1,333$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.15 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 1,300$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Houston Astros | 73c | 1,236$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.27 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…b884backed Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 1,222$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Houston Astros | 64c | 1,171$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.44 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,142$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.14 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,100$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.98 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 1,063$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.2 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Houston Astros | 67c | 1,060$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.4 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Houston Astros | 57c | 1,034$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 1,024$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Houston Astros | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 999$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.34 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 930.48$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.9 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Houston Astros | 32c | 922.08$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.83 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Houston Astros | 61c | 909.74$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Houston Astros | 62c | 900$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Houston Astros | 55c | 888$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Houston Astros | 64c | 800$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 780$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Houston Astros | 65c | 772.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 702.97$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.78 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…546cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 668.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…b97dbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 668.59$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 657.43$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.15 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Houston Astros | 64c | 648.33$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.93 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.