MLB · resolved market
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc816e5752d43d1436cd982d4634898feed183808a83f3f5cae30d1bd99150fef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Houston Astros, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 117,512$59,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,867.08 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 112,276$55,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,240.5 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Houston Astros | 49c | 63,178$30,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,718.27 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 37,804$18,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,082.06 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 31,156$15,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,303.76 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 47c | 14,900$7,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,012.82 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 12,431$6,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.08 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 11,516$5,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,756.64 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Houston Astros | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 8,976$4,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.62 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Houston Astros | 49c | 7,611$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.53 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 7,450$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.71 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 6,144$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.37 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Houston Astros | 51c | 5,714$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.25 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 5,499$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,800$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Houston Astros | 49c | 4,230$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.59 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Houston Astros | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Houston Astros | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Houston Astros | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 3,072$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,168$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.45 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,154$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.87 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,145$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.46 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,088$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.97 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,776$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.68 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,470$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.01 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,371$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.79 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,114$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.53 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,095$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,045$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.71 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.76 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 1,006$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 934.44$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.53 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 854$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.48 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 51c | 747.67$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.31 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 736.77$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 699.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Houston Astros | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 612.24$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 576.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 21c | 566.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 500.89$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Houston Astros | 49c | 390.18$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 373.08$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Houston Astros | 49c | 329.14$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.41 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 328.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 325.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 321.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.14 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Houston Astros | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 294.38$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.36 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Houston Astros | 51c | 290.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 263.77$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Houston Astros | 51c | 235.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 230.3$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 207$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…dbf6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Houston Astros | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Houston Astros | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 193$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros | 47c | 189.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 65c | 182.27$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Houston Astros | 53c | 181.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 171.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Houston Astros | 52c | 165.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Houston Astros | 18c | 155.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Houston Astros | 16c | 142.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 132.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2645…ccc3backed Houston Astros | 51c | 122.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…8fd9backed Houston Astros | 55c | 118.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 109.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…69aabacked Houston Astros | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Houston Astros | 52c | 105.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 100.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 98.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Houston Astros | 51c | 98.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Houston Astros | 52c | 96.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Houston Astros | 48c | 94.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Houston Astros | 56c | 87.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Houston Astros | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 74.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Houston Astros | 48c | 74.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Houston Astros | 41c | 71.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 69.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston AstrosToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.