MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ceaad602f0a1a97c697826274e7abce6fedd27f2c367d9520300e33dabe934e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Miami Marlins, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 28,131$14,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,232.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 23,815$10,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,445.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 23,363$9,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,034.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 18,042$5,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,954.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 14,152$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640.15 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 12,727$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705.04 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1be…154bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 11,896$7,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,925.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 8,930$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.99 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 7,778$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.78 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 7,012$4,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.9 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 6,979$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.74 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 5,821$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.9 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 5,817$4,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 4,834$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.19 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 3,612$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.43 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 3,291$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.72 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 3,154$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 3,053$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,109$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.57 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,908$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.23 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 1,873$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.24 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 1,711$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.45 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,514$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.2 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 1,360$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.2 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,344$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.76 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,177$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.86 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 1,073$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.3 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,053$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.54 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 1,007$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.97 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 916$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.12 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…630dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 874.1$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 799.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 768.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.24 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 720$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.49 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…a484backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 713.89$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 542.01$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 525$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 508.11$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.22 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 502.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…7860backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 489.55$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…09d9backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 483.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 482.61$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 478.19$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.49 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 476.47$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 471.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 449.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 444.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 440$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 435.86$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 409.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.14 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 401.04$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 386.14$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 378.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 375$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 375$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 374.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 370.72$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Miami Marlins | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 344.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…fcf8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 341.54$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 330.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 327.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 308.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 304$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 302.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 286.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 280.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 267.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 264$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 260$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 256.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 253.88$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea62…3fe2backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 249.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Miami Marlins | 23c | 241.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…251cbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…8f35backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 235.29$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 227.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 219.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 219.29$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 205$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 202.8$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 198.51$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 198.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 181.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…97c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 174.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 170$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 165.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.