MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1ae19b9f045d5778f911c10c045d21d7424e160ce71f4b164e75b0f4b8a1775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 50c | 87,206$43,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,603.22 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 80,670$40,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,335 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 75,000$38,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,249.8 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 48c | 15,739$7,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,220.77 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Under | 50c | 13,166$6,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,582.95 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 9,394$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.09 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 8,454$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,237.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 7,532$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,841.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 6,244$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 5,715$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.59 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 5,362$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 49c | 5,017$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.91 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 37c | 3,881$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.77 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 65c | 3,600$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 2,118$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 1,755$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 1,488$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.88 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 70c | 1,447$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.9 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 1,025$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.43 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.99 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 49c | 964.19$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.52 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 49c | 902.49$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.01 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 70c | 869.57$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.7 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 70c | 688.65$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.06 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 631.96$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 48c | 625.41$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.06 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 49c | 616.41$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.02 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 22c | 579.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Over | 60c | 570$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Over | 59c | 556.49$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 423.46$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.78 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 49c | 397.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.75 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 49c | 397.53$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 27c | 396.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.17 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 70c | 349.71$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Under | 70c | 340.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.49 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 335.56$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.78 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 49c | 322$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 49c | 274.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 49c | 258.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Over | 49c | 196$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 50c | 191.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 50c | 187.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Over | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 70c | 144.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 140.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 25c | 108.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 51c | 104.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…0de6backed Over | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 60c | 99.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 292 | 51%149 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 60c | 97.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 57c | 96.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 49c | 95.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 51c | 95.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 38c | 93.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 59c | 90.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 51c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Over | 51c | 73.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 49c | 73.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 70c | 72.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 70c | 72.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 33c | 65.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…06d3backed Over | 49c | 65.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under | 52c | 63.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Under | 51c | 60.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 77c | 60.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 49c | 51.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…a9c6backed Over | 31c | 48.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 53c | 45.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Over | 49c | 45.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 197 | 59.9%118 W · 79 L | +21.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Over | 49c | 44.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…10c1backed Over | 49c | 43.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 50c | 42.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 49c | 42.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Over | 51c | 41.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.