CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cdf12a33bb67d1e5229cd49944e4923829925c7d733fb665176fa86f89907f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $515,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed FUT Esports | 66c | 59,638$39,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,276.87 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…f7c4backed magic | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed magic | 32c | 14,658$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.85 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed magic | 33c | 14,112$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656.86 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed FUT Esports | 66c | 12,628$8,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290.86 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed magic | 34c | 10,314$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.76 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed magic | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked magic | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked magic | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.98 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 6,921$4,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.93 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed magic | 29c | 5,790$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.17 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed FUT Esports | 76c | 5,151$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.08 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed magic | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed magic | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.98 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed magic | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked magic | 12c | 4,943$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked magic | 15c | 4,840$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked magic | 25c | 4,757$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.45 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed magic | 19c | 4,433$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.03 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked magic | 47c | 4,351$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.98 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed magic | 37c | 4,000$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.33 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 3,770$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked magic | 28c | 3,550$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.05 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed FUT Esports | 67c | 3,300$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed magic | 44c | 3,122$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.58 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked magic | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed magic | 30c | 2,849$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.45 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed FUT Esports | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed magic | 11c | 2,442$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.57 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 2,090$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.81 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked FUT Esports | 65c | 2,002$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.76 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked magic | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked magic | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed magic | 34c | 2,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed magic | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed magic | 34c | 1,940$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.52 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 1,909$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.91 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed magic | 6c | 1,831$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed magic | 47c | 1,727$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.09 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked magic | 38c | 1,693$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.7 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed FUT Esports | 67c | 1,684$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.69 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed magic | 27c | 1,600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.99 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed FUT Esports | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked magic | 43c | 1,503$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FUT Esports | 73c | 1,477$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.04 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed magic | 26c | 1,436$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.49 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked magic | 49c | 1,417$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.6 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed magic | 33c | 1,392$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.36 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed magic | 33c | 1,379$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed magic | 12c | 1,357$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked magic | 33c | 1,356$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed FUT Esports | 63c | 1,300$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed FUT Esports | 67c | 1,269$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.77 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked magic | 34c | 1,218$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.13 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports | 73c | 1,190$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.31 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed magic | 20c | 1,111$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed FUT Esports | 50c | 1,081$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.29 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed magic | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed FUT Esports | 53c | 1,040$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.8 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed FUT Esports | 60c | 1,000$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a40…840ebacked magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked magic | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +14.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed magic | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…8830backed FUT Esports | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed magic | 31c | 967.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed magic | 20c | 960.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.87 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed magic | 4c | 939.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1a…0db5backed magic | 34c | 901.88$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed magic | 35c | 817.38$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.08 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 813.42$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.43 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed FUT Esports | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed FUT Esports | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 778$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.3 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed magic | 32c | 773.02$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.19 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed magic | 48c | 764.7$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.45 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 749.28$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked magic | 30c | 649.28$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…94d3backed magic | 35c | 644.2$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.47 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed FUT Esports | 57c | 600$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed magic | 50c | 599.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed FUT Esports | 65c | 590$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed magic | 33c | 586.22$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed FUT Esports | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed magic | 37c | 556$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.12 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…bcb6backed magic | 12c | 555$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 73c | 550$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed magic | 11c | 531.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked magic | 35c | 513$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked magic | 9c | 506.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked magic | 33c | 500.35$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed magic | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 493.6$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 493.4$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.63 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed magic | 47c | 480$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked FUT Esports | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…af42backed FUT Esports | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…c88bbacked FUT Esports | 72c | 447.61$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.