MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b0ae98ebf26bc27f996105bf49ff2d05d8ef9d88b54578dc9b76b8b6be6a37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Miami Marlins, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 75,729$22,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,718.75 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Miami Marlins | 31c | 30,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 28,911$19,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,962.46 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 20,679$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.14 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 19,462$13,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033.18 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…f90cbacked Miami Marlins | 31c | 16,352$5,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,068.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 15,575$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 13,897$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 11,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 15c | 7,862$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 4,180$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.95 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 3,444$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.72 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 3,394$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.54 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 2,355$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.3 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 2,143$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.86 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…54a7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 2,094$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 1,727$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 1,709$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,672$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…c514backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 1,582$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.75 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 1,385$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.63 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 1,182$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…5e20backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Miami Marlins | 19c | 1,158$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 1,135$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 1,039$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,008$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.62 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 939.25$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.96 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 848.05$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.42 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 830$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 757.29$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.76 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…09d9backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 742.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 677.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 636.13$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 617$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 547.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Miami Marlins | 13c | 518.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 499.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 31c | 491$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 468.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 455.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Miami Marlins | 14c | 408.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 389.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 387.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 385.3$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.59 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 373.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d05…ce70backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 354.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 307.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 303.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 289.83$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 286$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 280$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 276.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 274.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 269.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 260.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Miami Marlins | 17c | 256.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 255.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Miami Marlins | 31c | 241.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 241.53$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…fbb3backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 237.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 31c | 220$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 220$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…33c9backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 219.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 205$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 190.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 178.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 166.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Miami Marlins | 18c | 158.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 158.35$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 143.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…31a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 169 | 62.7%106 W · 63 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 142.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 140.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.