MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32877a41dd01a2f8508a7dd644079075073282c29f4e60f4f2b44888a3feeaea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 63,339$29,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,099.1 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 53c | 50,000$26,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,699.98 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 45,438$24,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,506.84 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Over | 47c | 30,863$14,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,357.23 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 53c | 11,612$6,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,154.36 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…235cbacked Under | 55c | 4,821$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 47c | 3,088$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.64 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Under | 52c | 2,373$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 2,037$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 52c | 2,001$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.51 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 49c | 1,977$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.45 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 1,891$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 36c | 1,693$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Under | 54c | 1,476$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Under | 54c | 1,476$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 1,314$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.69 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 54c | 1,139$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 1,074$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 48c | 758.08$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.2 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…6527backed Over | 57c | 704.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.17 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 604.97$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 53c | 534.6$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.67 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 54c | 490.87$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.07 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 49c | 450$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.45 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 46c | 444$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 409.85$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 45c | 389.66$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.93 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 53c | 341.94$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.23 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 48c | 333.28$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 328$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 303.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 45c | 248.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.28 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Under | 52c | 213.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 48c | 208.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 205.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 37c | 185.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 71c | 175.73$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 173.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 49c | 166$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 150.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 52c | 135.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 54c | 129.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 35c | 127.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 47c | 123.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Over | 37c | 112.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 106$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4e…d751backed Under | 55c | 102.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…a393backed Over | 44c | 99.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 52c | 95.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 35c | 79.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 46c | 75.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Over | 49c | 73.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 73.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 52c | 71.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 44c | 61.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 52c | 55.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…2c72backed Under | 73c | 55.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Under | 44c | 51.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 54c | 50.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4709backed Over | 49c | 47.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 45c | 47.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 43.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aae…7efcbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 51c | 35.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 47c | 33.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Under | 52c | 29.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 52c | 28.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…6855backed Under | 74c | 26.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 41c | 25.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 59c | 24.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 42c | 23.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.