NFL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40a6fcffaee663da4502aee6eb18210124fab8973916731d5f18aa4aa47dc453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Panthers, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Panthers | 34c | 58,671$19,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,672 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Bills | 75c | 17,590$13,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,397.49 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bills | 55c | 11,502$6,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,192.8 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Bills | 46c | 6,866$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bills | 75c | 5,580$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.24 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bills | 61c | 5,521$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.19 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Bills | 57c | 4,727$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.27 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Bills | 60c | 4,597$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.5 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Panthers | 0c | 4,450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Panthers | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Panthers | 47c | 3,851$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.9 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bills | 58c | 3,201$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.45 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Panthers | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Bills | 71c | 2,300$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Panthers | 39c | 2,264$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.65 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Bills | 76c | 2,179$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Bills | 65c | 1,954$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Panthers | 47c | 1,769$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.31 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Bills | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bills | 60c | 1,506$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.19 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Panthers | 40c | 1,297$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.04 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Bills | 61c | 1,259$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.69 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Bills | 57c | 1,018$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Bills | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Bills | 57c | 997$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Bills | 60c | 975$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.1 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Bills | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Panthers | 35c | 826.14$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.15 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Panthers | 39c | 698.77$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.08 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Bills | 73c | 668.67$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…8a55backed Bills | 62c | 556.4$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bills | 51c | 523.37$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.45 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Bills | 76c | 520.74$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Bills | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Bills | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bills | 76c | 450.38$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Panthers | 46c | 437.56$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.18 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bills | 71c | 435$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Bills | 78c | 405.2$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bills | 72c | 403.1$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Panthers | 46c | 396$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Bills | 80c | 368.34$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Bills | 78c | 355.09$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Bills | 72c | 351.39$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Bills | 60c | 300$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Panthers | 22c | 295.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…5076backed Bills | 58c | 289$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Bills | 71c | 283.1$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…d938backed Bills | 74c | 260$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Bills | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +488.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…452abacked Panthers | 26c | 237.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Bills | 57c | 233.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Panthers | 24c | 228.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Panthers | 46c | 225.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Panthers | 26c | 208.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Bills | 60c | 207.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Panthers | 26c | 204.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Bills | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Bills | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Panthers | 29c | 191.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Panthers | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Bills | 57c | 171.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Bills | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Panthers | 30c | 143.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Panthers | 46c | 137$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Panthers | 42c | 131$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Panthers | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Bills | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed Bills | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Panthers | 20c | 101.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Bills | 59c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Panthers | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Panthers | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…a0fdbacked Panthers | 40c | 94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Bills | 59c | 85.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Bills | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Bills | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Bills | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Bills | 58c | 83.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Panthers | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Bills | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Bills | 57c | 79.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Panthers | 51c | 77.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Bills | 67c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Panthers | 30c | 74.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Panthers | 26c | 74.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…eedbbacked Bills | 67c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Bills | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Panthers | 24c | 66.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Bills | 47c | 64.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…081ebacked Bills | 80c | 63.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Bills | 60c | 60.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Panthers | 21c | 59.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Bills | 52c | 53.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…3023backed Bills | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Panthers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Panthers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Bills | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…e494backed Bills | 60c | 41.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Bills | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Billsthis page
- CAR vs. BUF: O/U 37.5Over won
- CAR vs. BUF: O/U 38.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Bills: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Spread: BUF (-1.5)BUF won
- Spread: BUF (-2.5)BUF won
- Spread: BUF (-3.5)BUF won
- Spread: CAR (-1.5)BUF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.