TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc5b…3023

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT7067.1%47 W · 23 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$22.43
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$9.49
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$10.92
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78%+$39
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$46.4
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Diyar Nurgozhay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Rizvan Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.59
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Wang Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machacbacked Mees Rottgering · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Abdullah Shelbayhbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Acostabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tausonbacked Mia Pohankova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$15.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.