MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64b2970ef1dc7d8bbe7268ec611869621e8754022af39bc3f7a48968ceb55c69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Washington Nationals, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,400 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 23,708$14,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,462.04 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed New York Mets | 56c | 22,764$12,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,015.96 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 22,575$14,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,545.91 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 36c | 16,386$5,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,447.47 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.95 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 41c | 14,000$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,260 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 51c | 11,070$5,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,394.8 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 65c | 6,962$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.59 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 36c | 6,626$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.78 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 5,705$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.25 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 73c | 4,434$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.96 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 4,146$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.77 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 40c | 3,712$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.42 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…4b54backed Washington Nationals | 3c | 3,646$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed New York Mets | 20c | 2,993$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 2,883$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed New York Mets | 29c | 2,446$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.37 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed New York Mets | 56c | 2,433$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.39 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked New York Mets | 29c | 2,286$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.06 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 2,255$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.31 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Mets | 57c | 2,195$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.84 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 2,139$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.23 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 47c | 2,112$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.36 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 1,703$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.21 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed New York Mets | 16c | 1,617$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.91 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,616$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.73 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,517$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.48 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.98 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 1,270$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.4 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,190$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.67 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,190$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.7 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Mets | 68c | 1,154$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.61 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,140$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.81 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Mets | 41c | 1,096$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.05 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,068$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.34 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 37c | 1,040$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.56 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed New York Mets | 50c | 993.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.76 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Washington Nationals | 27c | 975.83$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.03 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed New York Mets | 51c | 971.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 44c | 775.54$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.81 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed New York Mets | 29c | 729$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.26 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Washington Nationals | 4c | 653.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 51 | 3.9%2 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 40c | 633.21$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.25 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets | 38c | 584.33$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.28 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 581 | 60.4%351 W · 230 L | +30.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed New York Mets | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed New York Mets | 51c | 471.5$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.28 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 443.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 436.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed New York Mets | 45c | 416.86$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 491 | 60.7%298 W · 193 L | +41.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 415.61$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Washington Nationals | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Washington Nationals | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Mets | 52c | 388.05$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.57 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 384.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Mets | 40c | 371.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.46 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 365$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed New York Mets | 80c | 362$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 345.54$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Mets | 55c | 337.45$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Mets | 72c | 313.12$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed New York Mets | 54c | 310$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 309.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked New York Mets | 40c | 306.71$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked New York Mets | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 278.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Washington Nationals | 23c | 271.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 212 | 33.5%71 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked New York Mets | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked New York Mets | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 322 | 66.5%214 W · 108 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked New York Mets | 79c | 229.05$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 225.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…e334backed New York Mets | 72c | 223.6$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 222.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 218.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Washington Nationals | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 217.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 790 | 49.2%389 W · 401 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 199.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed New York Mets | 30c | 196.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked New York Mets | 41c | 188.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed New York Mets | 41c | 188.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 187$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 180.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed New York Mets | 56c | 179.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 29c | 172$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Washington Nationals | 69c | 170.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsthis page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.