MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x887c641092cf6d1b51f0a482b215f665e6e3e715617efcda23fcbfbcfcd0b766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 45c | 280,023$127,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152,812.8 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 56c | 120,000$67,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,199.99 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 59,991$32,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,772.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 33,731$17,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,266.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 56c | 4,991$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.83 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 56c | 4,800$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 4,495$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 2,467$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 1,939$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.42 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 52c | 1,703$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.5 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Over | 49c | 1,617$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 1,397$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.41 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Under | 62c | 1,392$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.25 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 48c | 1,315$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.22 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 39c | 1,116$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.51 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 888$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.76 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 54c | 793.2$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.33 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 50c | 725.11$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 654$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.38 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 540$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 44c | 513.8$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.73 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Over | 68c | 434$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 50c | 406.31$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.44 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Under | 52c | 400.08$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.04 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 50c | 346.65$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 54c | 312.01$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 202.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 62c | 178.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 47c | 177$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 56c | 172.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 168.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 41c | 166.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 46c | 155.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Under | 37c | 138.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 35c | 131.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186b…9bbabacked Under | 75c | 130$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 55c | 123.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Under | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 56c | 106$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 60c | 91.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…eebbbacked Under | 56c | 90.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 61c | 69.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 61c | 64.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Under | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 56c | 46.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 41.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 38.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 62c | 36.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…2f20backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Under | 52c | 34.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Over | 39c | 33.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 51c | 32.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 51c | 29.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Over | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 54c | 26.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 55c | 24.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 61c | 23.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Under | 68c | 21.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Over | 49c | 20.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 75c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.