MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x656707e475fc7e5cc2c2ed005a6f1f009818b53b4e85ac734dcf253fbd1b7e6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 53c | 212,641$112,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,941.2 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 47c | 66,463$31,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,237.45 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Under | 47c | 63,830$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000.1 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 47c | 22,363$10,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,510.61 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 20,099$9,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,325.77 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 11,921$6,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,118.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 11,080$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,207.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 42c | 5,505$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.01 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 50c | 4,990$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.95 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 2,495$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 1,437$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.56 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Under | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 52c | 1,189$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.65 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 53c | 1,002$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 52c | 934.43$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.16 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 60c | 739.06$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.75 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 682.39$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 47c | 612.24$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.75 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 31c | 599.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Over | 52c | 560.65$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.11 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 541.71$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 47c | 524.91$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.71 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 47c | 434.39$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 51c | 339$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.11 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 47c | 338.82$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 54c | 330.78$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.24 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Under | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 301.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 45c | 290.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Over | 48c | 281.31$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 277.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 246.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 53c | 240.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…bed6backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Under | 47c | 204.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Under | 47c | 204.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Under | 47c | 204.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Over | 54c | 181.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 54c | 171.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 170.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 53c | 168.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…e7d1backed Over | 44c | 159.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 67c | 141.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 132$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…2b84backed Under | 47c | 125.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Over | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 53c | 120.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Over | 53c | 117.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 62c | 108.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 37c | 108.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 47c | 102.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Under | 47c | 102.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Over | 57c | 97.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 35c | 95.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 556 | 58.1%323 W · 233 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 43c | 94.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 54c | 89.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 42c | 88.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…2dc5backed Under | 47c | 74.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 47c | 71.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 31c | 70.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 31c | 58.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +25.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 65c | 49.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Over | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 41.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Under | 47c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…ab77backed Under | 47c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Under | 47c | 40.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Under | 47c | 40.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 42c | 40.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 48c | 40.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 47c | 34.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 45c | 31.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 53c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Under | 47c | 28.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…eebbbacked Under | 47c | 27.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 47c | 27.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 47c | 26.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Over | 52c | 26.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…d8cebacked Under | 47c | 25.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.