NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Browns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb976e960280af803c08fc12778795bdebbe917d746ecc3a1b2c30d943a04db7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Bills, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Bills | 45c | 65,791$29,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,998.37 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Browns | 58c | 33,546$19,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,407.18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Browns | 51c | 18,182$9,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,342.47 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Browns | 55c | 18,000$9,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,984.91 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Bills | 47c | 14,658$6,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,734.43 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Browns | 47c | 12,744$5,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,932.81 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Browns | 57c | 6,688$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.2 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Browns | 0c | 5,112$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Browns | 59c | 4,168$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.85 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Browns | 54c | 3,964$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.02 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bills | 45c | 2,897$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.39 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Bills | 42c | 2,769$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.74 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Bills | 47c | 2,161$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.02 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Bills | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Bills | 47c | 1,900$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bills | 72c | 1,855$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.35 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Bills | 46c | 1,842$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Browns | 60c | 1,635$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Bills | 43c | 1,575$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.87 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Browns | 58c | 1,570$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Browns | 57c | 1,533$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.64 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bills | 51c | 1,511$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.05 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Browns | 59c | 1,361$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.34 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Browns | 55c | 1,253$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.42 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bills | 40c | 1,199$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Bills | 47c | 1,192$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Bills | 42c | 1,186$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Bills | 41c | 1,174$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.91 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Browns | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…c617backed Browns | 47c | 925.41$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Browns | 59c | 839.2$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.13 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Browns | 57c | 780$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…ec19backed Bills | 45c | 662.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Bills | 47c | 659$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.97 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Browns | 19c | 605$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Bills | 42c | 589$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Bills | 45c | 588.01$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Browns | 57c | 526.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…d999backed Bills | 58c | 514.48$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Bills | 36c | 508.69$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Browns | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Browns | 50c | 496.06$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Browns | 56c | 491.34$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.15 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Bills | 43c | 455$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Bills | 44c | 450.52$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.29 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Bills | 48c | 436.9$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Bills | 44c | 411.67$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.51 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Browns | 57c | 408.27$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.34 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Browns | 58c | 400.05$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.03 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Browns | 24c | 375$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bills | 40c | 374.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Bills | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Browns | 56c | 318.18$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Bills | 70c | 316.41$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Browns | 18c | 305.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Browns | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Bills | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Bills | 41c | 300$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Bills | 37c | 296.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Browns | 44c | 272.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Browns | 45c | 268.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Bills | 41c | 267$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Browns | 56c | 262.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.82 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Bills | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Bills | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Browns | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Browns | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Browns | 19c | 240$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Bills | 46c | 219.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…a0fdbacked Browns | 34c | 208.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Browns | 58c | 189.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Bills | 47c | 181.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Bills | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Browns | 62c | 168$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…f058backed Browns | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Browns | 58c | 152$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Bills | 51c | 151.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Browns | 59c | 145.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Bills | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Browns | 58c | 133.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Bills | 37c | 133.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Browns | 43c | 128.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Bills | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Bills | 42c | 119$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…14c2backed Bills | 44c | 114.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…3190backed Bills | 48c | 112.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Bills | 40c | 101.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Bills | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Browns | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Bills | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Browns | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Bills | 45c | 93.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…9154backed Bills | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Browns | 60c | 88.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Browns | 46c | 85.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bills | 40c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Bills | 48c | 82.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Browns | 61c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bills | 71c | 79.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…82aabacked Bills | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Brownsthis page
- BUF vs. CLE: O/U 36.5Over won
- BUF vs. CLE: O/U 37.5Over won
- BUF vs. CLE: O/U 38.5Under won
- BUF vs. CLE: O/U 39.5Under won
- Spread: CLE (-1.5)BUF won
- Spread: CLE (-2.5)BUF won
- Spread: CLE (-3.5)BUF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.