MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ec63587cfad7b9cbf7089665e2e1d955ebb2d048a85131d9ed1f4b645fc87f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Boston Red Sox, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 33,792$19,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,847.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 33,333$17,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,666.45 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 33,061$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,860.95 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 14,217$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 13,423$6,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,713.09 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 9,293$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 7c | 8,158$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 7,500$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.96 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 7,116$4,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.58 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 4,415$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.26 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Boston Red Sox | 3c | 3,152$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 2,816$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.79 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 2,769$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.36 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 2,662$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.78 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 1c | 2,288$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 14c | 2,113$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.43 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…6b6dbacked Boston Red Sox | 5c | 1,997$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,889$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.55 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,730$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.6 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,633$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,588$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.68 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,538$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.07 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,503$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.43 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Boston Red Sox | 6c | 1,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…e713backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Boston Red Sox | 10c | 902.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 888.4$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.2 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 883.51$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.97 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 815.2$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.75 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 806.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Boston Red Sox | 7c | 787.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 744.85$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 18c | 674.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Boston Red Sox | 18c | 664.03$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 653.19$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 605.17$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.26 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 574.77$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.88 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 565.03$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 558.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 534.84$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Boston Red Sox | 20c | 534.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…1cb3backed Boston Red Sox | 14c | 526.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 455.95$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.53 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 423.07$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…e71abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Boston Red Sox | 16c | 356.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 315$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 315$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af3…bfa1backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 313.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Boston Red Sox | 8c | 296.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 293.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Boston Red Sox | 19c | 275.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 269.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 268.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 256.37$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 237.48$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.89 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…dc31backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 231.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 230$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Boston Red Sox | 7c | 224.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 224$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 223.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 212.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 204.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…bafebacked Boston Red Sox | 8c | 203.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 203.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 203.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 190$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…44c3backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 187.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 180.26$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Boston Red Sox | 15c | 160.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 153.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 152.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 144.73$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 136.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-6.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.