TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boston Red Soxof San Francisco Giants, Boston Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants20c34,550$6,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,847.1310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea6a…ab5abacked Boston Red Sox46c16,000$7,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,585.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants33c15,083$4,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,921.348,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants48c14,656$7,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,084.152,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Boston Red Sox41c9,874$4,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,825.668446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants32c8,566$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.058,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants35c7,068$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.8895045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed San Francisco Giants34c5,883$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.2228042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox68c5,082$3,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.914,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Boston Red Sox66c5,022$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.484654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants34c4,907$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.314,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Boston Red Sox41c4,408$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.725853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked San Francisco Giants42c2,986$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.9424252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed San Francisco Giants53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32515851.9%82 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Boston Red Sox66c2,048$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.322,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants38c1,773$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.9611,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Boston Red Sox59c1,622$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.781,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox63c1,349$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.954,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox66c1,309$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.966,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Boston Red Sox66c1,248$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.2461346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants11c1,192$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3879442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed San Francisco Giants43c1,191$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.8525447.6%121 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Boston Red Sox65c1,182$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.1158746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed San Francisco Giants9c1,123$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004814.6%7 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed San Francisco Giants45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9512759.1%75 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed San Francisco Giants20c1,030$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119534.4%67 W · 128 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x968b…87f6backed Boston Red Sox66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+82.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Boston Red Sox66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox66c967.2$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.851,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Boston Red Sox66c838.9$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.2355653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed San Francisco Giants34c813.13$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4660043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed San Francisco Giants36c811.82$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.717160.8%104 W · 67 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox66c668.05$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1489153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Boston Red Sox63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.922958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed San Francisco Giants40c603.48$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2785148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox65c573.22$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.633,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants10c456$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.685645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked San Francisco Giants53c441.44$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9613355.6%74 W · 59 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Francisco Giants33c418$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.61,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed San Francisco Giants46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox78c391.16$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.299,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Boston Red Sox78c376$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.021,09979.7%876 W · 223 L+33.4wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed San Francisco Giants18c364.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7330834.1%105 W · 203 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked San Francisco Giants40c362.87$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.731,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Boston Red Sox35c353.51$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7819051.1%97 W · 93 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox67c312.43$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.771,91153.1%1,014 W · 897 L+43.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed San Francisco Giants33c305$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6591749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed San Francisco Giants59c305$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9517152.6%90 W · 81 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Boston Red Sox55c301.38$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6255658.1%323 W · 233 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed San Francisco Giants10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014643.2%63 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Boston Red Sox74c289.76$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.462,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked San Francisco Giants21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021343.2%92 W · 121 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Boston Red Sox49c284.33$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0122831.6%72 W · 156 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9264…ec96backed Boston Red Sox49c276$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked San Francisco Giants34c257.66$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0860348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c16…e71abacked San Francisco Giants33c249.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.494337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f8c…f8bdbacked San Francisco Giants56c217.68$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.95850%29 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Boston Red Sox59c211.16$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5754048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants32c210.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.684,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Boston Red Sox66c207.32$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4912752%66 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Boston Red Sox63c206.27$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1279955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed San Francisco Giants34c205$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.97445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Boston Red Sox56c201.14$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0648660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked San Francisco Giants33c175.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7779543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6120…9b18backed San Francisco Giants58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed San Francisco Giants34c159.81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3422744.9%102 W · 125 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b8…3c05backed Boston Red Sox66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Boston Red Sox67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2527357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox70c146$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.021,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x137f…968dbacked San Francisco Giants35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016943.2%73 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed San Francisco Giants64c141.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9034756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed San Francisco Giants17c140.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7344058.9%259 W · 181 L+29.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5e5…7994backed San Francisco Giants19c128.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.932969%20 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed San Francisco Giants35c127.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.131957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox66c126.47$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Boston Red Sox66c122.14$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.111346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked San Francisco Giants44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.882636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033c…bafebacked San Francisco Giants26c105.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.815457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed San Francisco Giants30c101.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1547852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d8f…f4d8backed San Francisco Giants39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed San Francisco Giants10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1035652.5%187 W · 169 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Boston Red Sox61c93.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7284049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…99c0backed Boston Red Sox60c89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.61050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32f…4f71backed Boston Red Sox68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.242972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc830…4d75backed San Francisco Giants49c86.41$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3415241.4%63 W · 89 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed San Francisco Giants36c85.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.672,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Boston Red Sox36c80.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.563652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed San Francisco Giants47c79.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7749762.2%309 W · 188 L+38.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox58c79.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.225,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Boston Red Sox61c75.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.485,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked San Francisco Giants42c71.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5540048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Boston Red Sox59c65.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Boston Red Sox66c64.34$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8858352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed San Francisco Giants30c60.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8546949.9%234 W · 235 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7319…c664backed San Francisco Giants36c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.330928.5%88 W · 221 L-46.7wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed San Francisco Giants19c59.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked San Francisco Giants34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06e…1ea2backed San Francisco Giants52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x118f…e0acbacked San Francisco Giants35c57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.954742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.