MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54caf898b85e538faa7a55424b471a56444b84494c02141d085cb4a71384fc27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Arizona Diamondbacks, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 13,196$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,484.85 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 13,059$7,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,101 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 11,481$4,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,936.97 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 7,198$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.38 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 5,974$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.01 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 5,805$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.15 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 5,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.97 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 3,644$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.62 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 3,521$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.51 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,746$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.04 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 2,636$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.86 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,597$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.65 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…442fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,335$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,522$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.29 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 1,474$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.98 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,274$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,001$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.21 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 849.4$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.81 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 594.26$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 541.64$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 503.97$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.31 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 478$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.32 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 388.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 78c | 374.98$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 363.53$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 352.46$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 334.62$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…99e9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 292$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 267.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 255.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 239$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 234.63$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 222.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 203.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 178.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…a799backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 163.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 161.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 149.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 147$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 131.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 124$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 115$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 226 | 52.2%118 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 114$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 111.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 451 | 59.2%267 W · 184 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 99.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 96.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 95.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 94.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 89.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 86.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Boston Red Sox | 68c | 77.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 75.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 75.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 74.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…3023backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 72.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…1c02backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 65.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 512 | 61.7%316 W · 196 L | +38.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4709backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 63.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 62.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 62.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 282 | 56.4%159 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 59.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 55.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 55.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 51.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 51.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 51.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf718…97e7backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 49.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…f923backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 48.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed53…456cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 48.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 48.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 491 | 60.7%298 W · 193 L | +41.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 47.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 41.5%80 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…c435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 42.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 38.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-7.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.