MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e4df84e0be9d2f3f3727bb7954c7e045b527b684eaf7f9bf6d3a7fcde2c4164
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $677,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 107,931$54,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,798.73 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 75,455$38,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,464.77 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…cf22backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 68,793$35,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,708.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 45,119$25,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,256.55 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 30,030$15,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,315.38 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 29,152$14,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,851.47 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 29,147$14,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,864.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 22,288$15,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,811.88 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 21,982$10,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,329.35 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 17,255$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,454.9 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 15,180$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.17 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 8,946$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 7,869$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.12 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 6,937$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.05 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 6,537$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.68 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a5a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 6,081$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.8 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 6,080$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.4 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 5,851$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.19 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 5,625$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.75 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 5,149$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.04 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 5,014$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.69 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 4,754$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.88 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 4,370$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.81 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 3,821$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 3,019$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.31 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 2,626$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.73 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 2,226$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,194$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…5ef0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,151$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 2,136$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.43 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 2,048$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 1,999$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.62 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,970$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.07 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 1,831$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.43 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 1,802$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,725$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.5 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 1,591$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 1,381$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.73 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,380$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6266backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 1,258$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,044$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.23 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 922.7$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.35 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 852.93$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.3 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 841.4$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 832.08$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 785.46$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.44 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 762.6$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.3 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 666.41$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.13 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 654.17$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.35 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 600.46$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.51 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 512.31$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 457.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 439.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 428.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.46 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 409.58$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 405.72$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.15 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 401.51$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.77 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 390$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 372$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 371.14$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 292.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.37 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 285$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 276$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 260$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 246.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 239.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 224.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 222$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 214.53$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 214.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.