MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3c226c8d277f3b22c314370ee27f7f2f38f6ea2f89c79129c662e8b25f8053f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 54c | 112,681$60,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,847.83 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 32,176$14,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,364.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Over | 52c | 21,000$10,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,950 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 46c | 13,540$6,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,311.79 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 11,605$5,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177.16 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 4,723$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 3,587$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 2,386$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.36 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 2,048$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.44 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 47c | 2,015$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.86 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 48c | 1,914$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.29 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 52c | 1,709$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.39 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,542$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 46c | 1,286$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.26 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 1,265$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.12 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 883.63$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.09 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 834.87$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.73 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 64c | 639$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.71 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 49c | 627.46$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.47 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 515.96$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.46 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 484.13$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.59 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 444.31$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.04 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 46c | 348$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 48c | 334$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.7 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 48c | 330.44$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.57 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 49c | 325.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.31 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 6c | 313$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Under | 49c | 296.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 49c | 231.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 48c | 188.9$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b28…bf9fbacked Over | 27c | 181.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Over | 50c | 153$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 148$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 144.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 16c | 128.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 112.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 49c | 90.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 85.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Over | 53c | 84.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…9e29backed Under | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Under | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 65c | 67.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 65c | 66.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…67dfbacked Under | 65c | 61.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Under | 46c | 52.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…26a0backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Under | 49c | 49.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Over | 52c | 49.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 43c | 44.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 36c | 41.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 65c | 36.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 65c | 36.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 34.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 68c | 29.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 48c | 28.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 68c | 28.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 46c | 28.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 49c | 27.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 47c | 26.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 66c | 24.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 47c | 23.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…661dbacked Under | 50c | 23.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 49c | 23.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Under | 59c | 22.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…feb1backed Over | 55c | 20.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Over | 55c | 20.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.