Earnings · resolved market
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f439cbd9d1345f3b46c8661e0d8274048e985b87de970cb95d8f1a45c56cb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 8c | 1,376$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 13c | 1,319$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 306 | 15%46 W · 260 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 10c | 1,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 473 | 38.5%182 W · 291 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…d687backed No | 14c | 834.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 13c | 808.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 13c | 723.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 14c | 594.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 13c | 513.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 20c | 463.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 13c | 370.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…70eabacked No | 14c | 341.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…4aa5backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 15c | 321.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 13c | 310.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 332 | 25%83 W · 249 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d50…7594backed No | 14c | 292.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 10c | 271.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 10c | 262.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed No | 14c | 250.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…208cbacked No | 18c | 232.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +161.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…596dbacked No | 13c | 216.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…d40ebacked No | 14c | 199.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed No | 10c | 194.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…6167backed No | 21c | 194.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 15c | 180$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 316 | 29.4%93 W · 223 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 9c | 170$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…8443backed No | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked No | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…0bbabacked No | 15c | 146.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…0a65backed No | 11c | 139.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…daecbacked No | 11c | 136.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…8072backed No | 19c | 135.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf93…a876backed No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked No | 14c | 124.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed No | 12c | 123.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed No | 23c | 110.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…754cbacked No | 19c | 109.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +335.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed No | 19c | 106.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc3…2a77backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…bfa8backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…560fbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…afdbbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…bd9fbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…b634backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…0457backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed No | 19c | 96.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…5fd0backed No | 12c | 89.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 12c | 86.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…3c39backed No | 13c | 76.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…bf60backed No | 18c | 76.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9913…3873backed No | 15c | 64.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +534%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 76c | 17.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.