NFL · resolved market
Browns vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0699bfe01583f8ff081c9210b058be9e9c18e31e1c605f633e5503eb0fe7cb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Browns, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $532,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Browns | 60c | 100,724$60,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,434.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Bears | 43c | 93,076$39,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,113.19 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Bears | 41c | 56,776$23,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,460.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Bears | 43c | 41,147$17,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,434.97 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Browns | 52c | 28,462$14,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,674.86 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…f7a7backed Browns | 1c | 21,486$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Browns | 60c | 10,859$6,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,510.67 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Browns | 59c | 10,122$5,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,986.98 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Browns | 31c | 9,962$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Bears | 32c | 9,472$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,443.76 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Bears | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bears | 40c | 6,160$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Bears | 44c | 5,843$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Bears | 40c | 5,548$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,321.37 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Browns | 56c | 5,310$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Browns | 1c | 4,772$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Bears | 39c | 4,749$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Bears | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…8a55backed Browns | 60c | 3,661$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Browns | 60c | 3,372$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bears | 49c | 3,149$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.36 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Browns | 75c | 3,000$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Browns | 57c | 2,192$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.44 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Bears | 42c | 2,073$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Bears | 40c | 1,972$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.55 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Browns | 59c | 1,767$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.62 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bears | 66c | 1,678$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.54 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Browns | 55c | 1,638$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.88 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Browns | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…7fdcbacked Browns | 54c | 1,454$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Browns | 32c | 1,333$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.03 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Browns | 57c | 1,318$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.52 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Bears | 50c | 1,297$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.83 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…e762backed Bears | 40c | 1,278$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Bears | 40c | 1,263$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Browns | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Browns | 52c | 952.15$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Browns | 60c | 807.39$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Bears | 35c | 694.44$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.39 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Bears | 40c | 693.11$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76b…e9d5backed Browns | 54c | 595.62$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Browns | 50c | 513.37$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.69 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Browns | 59c | 512$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Browns | 59c | 506.91$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.71 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Browns | 60c | 500.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Bears | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Browns | 55c | 480.73$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bears | 41c | 476.52$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.15 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…1c6abacked Browns | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…dd32backed Bears | 45c | 390.19$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Browns | 72c | 354$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.64 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…e2d6backed Browns | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Bears | 45c | 299.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bears | 44c | 286$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.21 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Browns | 61c | 285.04$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Bears | 63c | 283.03$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Browns | 52c | 282.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Browns | 60c | 276$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Bears | 44c | 267.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Bears | 58c | 240.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Bears | 45c | 230.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…bf40backed Bears | 48c | 224.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Bears | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Browns | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Bears | 44c | 211.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bears | 30c | 211.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.26 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Browns | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Bears | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked Bears | 75c | 194.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Browns | 49c | 174.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Browns | 58c | 173.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Bears | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Browns | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Browns | 47c | 164.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Bears | 47c | 163$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Browns | 59c | 156$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Browns | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Browns | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Browns | 53c | 147.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Browns | 60c | 142.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Bears | 44c | 140.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Bears | 50c | 133.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Bears | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Browns | 60c | 133.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Bears | 45c | 133$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Browns | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…6b8dbacked Bears | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Browns | 27c | 117.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa871…3932backed Browns | 62c | 111.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Bears | 33c | 109.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Browns | 72c | 104.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Bears | 23c | 101$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Browns | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Browns | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Browns | 26c | 93.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Browns | 60c | 88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Bears | 44c | 81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bears | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Browns | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe814…be87backed Bears | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Browns vs. Bearsthis page
- Browns vs. Bears: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- CLE vs. CHI: O/U 38.5Over won
- CLE vs. CHI: O/U 39.5Over won
- CLE vs. CHI: O/U 40.5Over won
- Spread: CHI (-1.5)CHI won
- Spread: CLE (-1.5)CHI won
- Spread: CLE (-2.5)CHI won
- Spread: CLE (-3.5)CHI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.