MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x130ca3a3ae4cc872933cfd95f661afcdca17426191df4b3ad6d3ffa8e5f6ddbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Athletics, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 154,660$97,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,224.02 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked Athletics | 37c | 108,108$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,999.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 31,250$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Athletics | 6c | 27,089$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.51 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics | 36c | 17,740$6,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,386.22 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Athletics | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…1498backed Athletics | 28c | 15,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 72c | 11,629$8,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 35c | 10,003$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Athletics | 36c | 9,999$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.64 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 6c | 7,387$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.97 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Athletics | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 4,589$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.12 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 36c | 3,965$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics | 15c | 3,924$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.51 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Athletics | 14c | 3,633$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.04 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 3,061$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.03 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Athletics | 37c | 2,593$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.49 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 37c | 2,102$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Athletics | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Athletics | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics | 27c | 1,794$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.29 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 79c | 1,575$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.41 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Athletics | 1c | 1,350$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 1,142$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 1,079$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Athletics | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 990.06$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.42 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Athletics | 37c | 967.21$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.35 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Athletics | 6c | 966.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…8913backed Athletics | 17c | 621.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 570$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 569.41$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 569.41$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 569.41$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 555$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.35 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 37c | 534.09$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.61 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 506.22$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.24 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 502$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Athletics | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Athletics | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Athletics | 13c | 500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Athletics | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Athletics | 37c | 478.38$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 468.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.66 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 457.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 402$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Athletics | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 390$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Athletics | 37c | 362.23$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Athletics | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Athletics | 12c | 324.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Athletics | 7c | 319.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Athletics | 14c | 313.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Athletics | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Athletics | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Athletics | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Athletics | 37c | 290$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Athletics | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Athletics | 37c | 270.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Athletics | 37c | 258.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 251.68$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 235.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Athletics | 13c | 234.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Athletics | 34c | 229.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 227.27$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Athletics | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Athletics | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 214$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 207.7$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Athletics | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Athletics | 37c | 191.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Athletics | 36c | 189.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Athletics | 37c | 178.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Kansas City Royals | 79c | 167.23$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Athletics | 37c | 163$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 150.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 21c | 146.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Athletics | 37c | 143$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Athletics | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Athletics | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Athletics | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 109.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 107.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals | 79c | 106.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Athletics | 37c | 105.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 103.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Athletics | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 91.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 89.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Athletics | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 530 | 55.8%296 W · 234 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Athletics | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…1c02backed Athletics | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 14.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.