MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x096c600e8c0ca9c1c5bce5d0bca0f9a99484524423a1f90f28db50ae63530895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 43c | 62,894$27,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,044.37 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 57c | 49,238$28,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,188.1 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 57c | 31,209$17,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,349.81 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 18,612$9,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,613.9 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 10,926$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.01 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 7,321$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.03 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 42c | 6,055$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.05 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 57c | 5,116$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.87 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 43c | 4,602$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.04 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 43c | 4,518$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.7 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 4,252$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 58c | 4,116$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 54c | 3,697$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.84 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 58c | 3,448$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.65 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 42c | 2,966$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.72 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 43c | 2,693$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.47 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 46c | 2,179$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.83 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 44c | 1,797$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.68 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 1,684$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 57c | 1,377$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 1,271$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.88 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 65c | 1,238$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.7 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 42c | 1,195$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.69 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Over | 46c | 870$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 44c | 783.66$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.39 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Under | 58c | 518$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 44c | 499.5$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.94 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 57c | 493.19$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 478.12$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 43c | 411.58$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.01 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 410.41$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.27 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 392$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Over | 44c | 373.61$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.43 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 44c | 364.92$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 43c | 354.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 42c | 336.18$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 42c | 333$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 44c | 307.79$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 65c | 301.65$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.07 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 275.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 42c | 259.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Over | 43c | 253.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 253.38$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…0f99backed Under | 57c | 236.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 58c | 231$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 44c | 219.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 42c | 217.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 50c | 177$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Under | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 44c | 156.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 44c | 145.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 57c | 144$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Under | 62c | 143.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 135.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Over | 44c | 132.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 64c | 128.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 57c | 122$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 42c | 120.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 119.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Under | 53c | 113$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 42c | 109.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over | 43c | 105.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 44c | 102.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…555ebacked Over | 44c | 101.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 56c | 99.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Under | 58c | 91.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…bf33backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 81.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 44c | 79.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 58c | 78.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…6307backed Over | 44c | 76.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 65c | 70.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 44c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 31c | 55.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 42c | 45.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Over | 43c | 45.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.