MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc56c82eae6307b8f931a02876df2bfe30ee5c9c88df5f6805af5a95ac64a9c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Washington Nationals, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.93 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 37,883$19,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,231.67 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 23,615$12,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,644.89 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 21,145$8,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,881.02 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 10,971$4,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,608 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 4,573$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.84 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 3,915$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.57 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 3,868$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.35 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 3,693$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.4 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 2,572$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 2,559$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.85 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,325$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.6 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 1,725$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.25 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…bf27backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,689$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 3c | 1,688$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,440$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,438$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,277$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.92 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,248$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.68 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 1,233$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,060$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.6 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 853.82$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.14 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Washington Nationals | 3c | 693.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 657.49$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 545$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Rangers | 77c | 518.35$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 500$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 483.49$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 476.1$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.72 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 4c | 465.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 422.9$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.62 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 417.54$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.72 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 360.15$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 322$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 280.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…8f35backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 271.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 260$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 244.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Washington Nationals | 7c | 243.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 241.96$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Washington Nationals | 10c | 235.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 234.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 233.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 220$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 220$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 16c | 208.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 203.64$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 203$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 202.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 194.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 169.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 148.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 135.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 135$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 126.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 120.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 118.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65a4…1963backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 115.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 113.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 111.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 109.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 107.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 102.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 102.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 91.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 90.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 85.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 82.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 79.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 530 | 55.8%296 W · 234 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 74.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…48d3backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 72.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 69.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 66.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 63.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 60.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 59.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 58.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4709backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 51.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 50.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 49.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.