MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9477d6f07b79a80ed49c5e9ad806aff0a14c3c71c1ab25878e28dc557149e2a8

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $106,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $106,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,403 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over	52c	27,815$14,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,463.78	552	53.1%293 W · 259 L	+21.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	49c	26,556$12,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,557.91	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	47c	21,012$9,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,124.72	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	51c	16,037$8,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,179	4,368	47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L	-79.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb727…2a9dbacked Over	53c	14,769$7,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,827.51	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…b2aebacked Over	52c	13,113$6,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,775.08	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	48c	10,120$4,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,218.57	1,386	50.6%702 W · 684 L	-23.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	48c	7,746$3,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,027	2,310	52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L	+27.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	47c	7,607$3,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,047.92	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Over	53c	6,000$3,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,180	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	50c	4,383$2,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,171.05	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	51c	4,297$2,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,191.28	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over	53c	3,773$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.69	712	53.4%380 W · 332 L	+12.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590	1,078	48.1%518 W · 560 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590	475	52%247 W · 228 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over	53c	2,857$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.88	325	52.9%172 W · 153 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	50c	2,404$1,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,191.25	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	47c	1,381$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.65	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	54c	1,111$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.94	874	53%463 W · 411 L	+16.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	47c	1,034$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.08	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over	54c	899.98$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.99	240	59.2%142 W · 98 L	+18.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over	53c	768.61$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.36	570	53.3%304 W · 266 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over	53c	566$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.98	662	50.2%332 W · 330 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	47c	500$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	1,845	50.7%936 W · 909 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	47c	499.99$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.99	710	44.5%316 W · 394 L	-23.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under	48c	438$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.76	1,306	50.7%662 W · 644 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	46c	422.45$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.84	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under	47c	389$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.17	336	49.1%165 W · 171 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under	47c	365$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.45	1,139	42.7%486 W · 653 L	+11.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d4…6b58backed Over	53c	349.91$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.45	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	1,219	53.9%657 W · 562 L	+32.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	47c	288$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.64	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over	55c	283.64$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	163	53.4%87 W · 76 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over	53c	283.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	243	50.2%122 W · 121 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Under	48c	268$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.36	189	51.9%98 W · 91 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Under	47c	221$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.13	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under	47c	212.75$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.76	285	53%151 W · 134 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	1,855	44%817 W · 1,038 L	-31.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over	53c	188.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	177	52.5%93 W · 84 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over	51c	179.5$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.55	1,848	49.6%917 W · 931 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	47c	175.9$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.52	1,635	49.3%806 W · 829 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under	73c	171.33$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.26	106	58.5%62 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	53c	160.08$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.24	216	50.5%109 W · 107 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	48c	154$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.57	1,884	53%998 W · 886 L	+16.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under	47c	149.57$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.27	657	49.2%323 W · 334 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over	53c	147.37$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.11	384	53.6%206 W · 178 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	32c	140.25$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.37	476	46.8%223 W · 253 L	+27.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Under	47c	126.51$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.05	96	49%47 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over	54c	124.8$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.34	802	55%441 W · 361 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Over	54c	120.37$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over	53c	120$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.6	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over	53c	116.41$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.7	527	52.2%275 W · 252 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.2	390	49%191 W · 199 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	232	55.2%128 W · 104 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,201	49.1%590 W · 611 L	+20.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	32c	90.31$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.41	800	52%416 W · 384 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	52c	88.58$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.38	1,797	50.4%906 W · 891 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	49c	85.14$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.72	1,947	53.1%1,033 W · 914 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	53c	70$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.1	2,044	39.5%808 W · 1,236 L	-24.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	47c	63.79$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.81	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Under	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	44c	47.73$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.73	3,841	42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over	58c	47.31$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.34	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	46c	46.86$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.24	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over	52c	45.63$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.73	256	55.1%141 W · 115 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc055…b4c1backed Over	53c	45.28$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under	48c	45.14$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.47	428	49.1%210 W · 218 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641d…eeedbacked Over	54c	43.63$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.56	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	42c	43$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.81	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under	47c	42.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.11	1,278	57%728 W · 550 L	+33.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	53c	40.48$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	1,212	50%606 W · 606 L	+5.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Over	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,481	63.5%940 W · 541 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over	53c	39.32$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.84	313	54.6%171 W · 142 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	53c	37.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	838	54.7%458 W · 380 L	+29.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over	56c	37.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	253	56.9%144 W · 109 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under	47c	31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.43	895	48.3%432 W · 463 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	46c	30.72$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.57	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b40…230cbacked Over	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	13	92.3%12 W · 1 L	+5.1wins	+0.39per pick	53cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under	47c	26.3$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.94	99	55.6%55 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under	48c	24.66$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.89	671	52.5%352 W · 319 L	+16.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Over	68c	21.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	132	60.6%80 W · 52 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	1,928	17.2%331 W · 1,597 L	-320.9wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
Washington Nationals vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Texas RangersYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event