Earnings · resolved market
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27b4633db1360293257a729bacd3be27cfc33075a51feb03240a43b8c0b05ded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc279…cc02backed Yes | 43c | 6,363$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…8d1cbacked No | 68c | 2,564$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…84cdbacked Yes | 35c | 1,890$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…eb90backed No | 74c | 1,770$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes | 38c | 1,456$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.09 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5882…387abacked No | 62c | 1,314$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed No | 80c | 1,067$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…52eabacked No | 44c | 914.22$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.98 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…a2cbbacked Yes | 42c | 813.65$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c0…4135backed No | 62c | 776.8$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…1384backed Yes | 38c | 731.54$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…a70fbacked No | 55c | 730$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +12.8wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…5cd2backed Yes | 66c | 722$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 22c | 708.9$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…f56cbacked No | 65c | 707.71$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 57c | 642.26$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.21 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 40c | 600.4$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed Yes | 27c | 515.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 26c | 428.88$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.66 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 21c | 413.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 31c | 386$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.34 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…c0f2backed No | 71c | 375.8$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 29c | 350$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed No | 33c | 316.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.64 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…9dbfbacked Yes | 36c | 300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 34c | 296.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.49 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Yes | 80c | 289.49$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 42c | 259.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5967…750dbacked No | 75c | 254.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a31…d45bbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 75c | 249.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes | 58c | 235.35$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 24c | 234.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 348 | 36.8%128 W · 220 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…a05dbacked Yes | 66c | 195.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…0454backed Yes | 37c | 190.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 188.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…40e2backed Yes | 34c | 175.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 29c | 155.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 48c | 152.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…aa5cbacked Yes | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…17acbacked Yes | 15c | 130.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…e762backed Yes | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 22c | 128$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…0e43backed Yes | 37c | 126.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…84b3backed Yes | 24c | 125.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x104d…4a52backed Yes | 23c | 123.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 70c | 116.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…966ebacked Yes | 55c | 110$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 104$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed No | 24c | 102.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…8443backed Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked No | 28c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Yes | 73c | 85.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 20c | 82.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 306 | 15%46 W · 260 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 24c | 81.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…d8d5backed Yes | 25c | 81.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +180%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…f97abacked Yes | 65c | 79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbae…548bbacked Yes | 39c | 70.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…dd0fbacked Yes | 41c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…24fcbacked Yes | 26c | 68.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Yes | 73c | 68.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79fa…ccd7backed Yes | 30c | 67.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…3fbebacked Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 35c | 66.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…f77ebacked Yes | 32c | 63.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…d8cdbacked Yes | 20c | 61.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…0101backed Yes | 20c | 60.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Yes | 74c | 60.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 72c | 59.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…5fd0backed Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…2471backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…3827backed Yes | 45c | 52.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 38c | 52.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9f02backed No | 77c | 52.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…9723backed Yes | 33c | 51.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c75abacked No | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…4a9cbacked Yes | 34c | 48.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…3c39backed No | 21c | 48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed Yes | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…0f16backed Yes | 27c | 46.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b7…0f05backed Yes | 80c | 43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -3.2wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…47ebbacked Yes | 29c | 42.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Yes | 74c | 41.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…8405backed Yes | 74c | 39.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3040…55cebacked Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Yes | 74c | 33.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.