Movies · resolved market
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x410b188d415c143697d7befbee656bc124c4057c375616c2c4b9beb59b875081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 70c | 10,417$7,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.55 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 35c | 7,549$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.1 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 63c | 4,634$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.95 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 23c | 3,241$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.55 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 17c | 3,072$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.96 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed No | 39c | 2,000$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.12 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 9c | 1,776$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,703$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.88 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…6df2backed No | 65c | 1,600$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.69 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,451$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.62 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes | 31c | 1,435$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 55c | 1,122$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.95 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 59c | 1,034$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.11 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…7874backed Yes | 24c | 922.7$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.59 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 57c | 899.53$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.09 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec0…8336backed Yes | 26c | 840.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.19 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 55c | 609.01$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.03 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…5b90backed Yes | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 35c | 450.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.45 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 40c | 439.56$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.08 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 19c | 399.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.99 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 10c | 397.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 56c | 397$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.03 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…534abacked Yes | 39c | 387.88$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1c26backed Yes | 70c | 359.6$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 56c | 359.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.41 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked No | 40c | 329.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 32c | 300$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 61c | 253$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.26 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 18c | 244.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…c2dbbacked No | 7c | 243$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…2c47backed No | 9c | 222$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…2f80backed No | 10c | 220$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…fcaebacked No | 10c | 220$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…630fbacked No | 10c | 220$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 47c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…4509backed Yes | 40c | 189.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…5499backed Yes | 37c | 188.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.55 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 21c | 167.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 160.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 10c | 155.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 65c | 145$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 50c | 131.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 126.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee2b…312fbacked No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd53…933cbacked No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…a61cbacked No | 21c | 114.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 60c | 110.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf648…05c7backed No | 71c | 110$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…a739backed Yes | 28c | 108$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed No | 61c | 107.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…bd99backed Yes | 71c | 105.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…b802backed No | 64c | 102$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ce…b027backed No | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…d406backed No | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…6680backed Yes | 43c | 76.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 75c | 63.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 41c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…e4d5backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…7311backed Yes | 41c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 30c | 56.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…aa42backed Yes | 32c | 51.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…204abacked No | 55c | 47.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 54c | 46.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…a3adbacked Yes | 36c | 41.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…cd66backed Yes | 55c | 38.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…8ae2backed No | 71c | 38.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 37.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…b3e8backed No | 69c | 32.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…9d72backed No | 67c | 31.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…3181backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 78c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac12…0cb1backed Yes | 52c | 25.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb056…cbe1backed Yes | 48c | 20.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…ab1cbacked No | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 75c | 19.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?this page
- Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5.5m?No won
- Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?No won
- Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8.5m?No won
- Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.