Movies · resolved market
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7e41fbb490ddee2bda5c83fe098aa4fda4a334a2f90694ee923b1ecb3ad2ad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 30c | 4,097$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.63 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes | 46c | 3,869$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.45 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 38c | 3,264$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.64 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…7874backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 39c | 1,881$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.09 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 36c | 1,785$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.32 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 9c | 1,776$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,646$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…6df2backed Yes | 26c | 1,505$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.62 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 62c | 1,108$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.96 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 55c | 1,043$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.6 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 22c | 958.57$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.43 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 9c | 938.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec0…8336backed Yes | 17c | 847.89$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 28c | 774.6$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 37c | 613$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.81 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked Yes | 27c | 521.01$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked No | 65c | 508.16$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 23c | 457$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…e172backed Yes | 40c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 40c | 397$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 54c | 375$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 40c | 371.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 75c | 367.77$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 26c | 325.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed No | 60c | 299.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked Yes | 45c | 281.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 33c | 267.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 263.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 251$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 69c | 245.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…5499backed Yes | 57c | 228.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…8f1bbacked Yes | 7c | 223.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed No | 62c | 220$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 202.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked Yes | 35c | 197.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed No | 50c | 196.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 59c | 194$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 67c | 184.2$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 59c | 177.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 43c | 175.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 74c | 159.42$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 58c | 131.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 64c | 126.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 62c | 125$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 16c | 124$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ce…b027backed No | 40c | 122.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 11c | 121.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 121$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 14c | 120.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…a739backed Yes | 58c | 108$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 52c | 94.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…100abacked No | 60c | 93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…dc8cbacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…bd99backed Yes | 59c | 85.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 13c | 83.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55b…27a4backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1d…7b71backed Yes | 49c | 77.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 30c | 77.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…4509backed Yes | 58c | 69.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed No | 62c | 67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed Yes | 57c | 63.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…7311backed Yes | 45c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 21c | 55.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked Yes | 56c | 49.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 40c | 49.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…9e26backed Yes | 59c | 46.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d0…bccebacked No | 45c | 44.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da6…867fbacked No | 58c | 42.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 41c | 41.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 47c | 41.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…7e36backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 44c | 35.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f9…c4dcbacked No | 63c | 31.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…c299backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…6680backed Yes | 51c | 29.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed No | 52c | 28.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 47c | 27.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed Yes | 61c | 27.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2c…488dbacked Yes | 54c | 25.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 39c | 25.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…d74fbacked No | 62c | 24.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?this page
- Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5.5m?No won
- Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?Yes won
- Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8.5m?No won
- Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.