TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes30c4,097$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.6315059.3%89 W · 61 L+19.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes46c3,869$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.455151%26 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+155.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes38c3,264$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.6428524.2%69 W · 216 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5684…7874backed Yes40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes39c1,881$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.099434%32 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x401e…6fc9backed Yes36c1,785$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.3217540%70 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed No9c1,776$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.161729.4%5 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick9cpaid+344.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83d7…317fbacked Yes11c1,646$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188758%6 W · 69 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-86.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a11…6df2backed Yes26c1,505$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.622433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No62c1,108$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9613337.6%50 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe78…c533backed Yes55c1,043$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.629735.7%106 W · 191 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bca…b60abacked Yes22c958.57$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4311421.9%25 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5095…93eebacked Yes9c938.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3529642.6%126 W · 170 L+22.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdec0…8336backed Yes17c847.89$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.622010%2 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Yes28c774.6$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.671546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+47.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Yes37c613$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8118746%86 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x450e…80aebacked Yes27c521.01$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.72937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1920…a04ebacked No65c508.16$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2512631%39 W · 87 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes23c457$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9726431.1%82 W · 182 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe61d…e172backed Yes40c400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.53246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes61c399.99$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24447328.3%134 W · 339 L-32.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes40c397$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7613735%48 W · 89 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-35.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Yes54c375$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.52433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6680…c738backed Yes40c371.47$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4210544.8%47 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No75c367.77$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4616741.9%70 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes26c325.09$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.569745.4%44 W · 53 L+22.0wins+0.23per pick23cpaid+88%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xdd54…b332backed No60c299.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd86e…ee3ebacked Yes45c281.79$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.472123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-55.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0978…00e6backed Yes33c267.88$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.853151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes15c263.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.091,3948%111 W · 1,283 L-47.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No55c251$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9987033.3%290 W · 580 L-77.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.55545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No69c245.21$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6616453.7%88 W · 76 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01f…5499backed Yes57c228.66$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.845427.8%15 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe092…8f1bbacked Yes7c223.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe423…2492backed No62c220$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes35c202.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6648414%68 W · 416 L-39.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Yes40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fec…728ebacked Yes35c197.55$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.931450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ef…be38backed No50c196.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.026028.3%17 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No59c194$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6623041.7%96 W · 134 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3576…09debacked No67c184.2$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.333053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…9149backed No59c177.28$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.923132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98b…6430backed Yes43c175.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No74c159.42$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2820841.8%87 W · 121 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No58c131.64$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5713534.8%47 W · 88 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No64c126.92$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1814337.1%53 W · 90 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes62c125$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes16c124$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.845311.3%6 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ce…b027backed No40c122.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked Yes11c121.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No62c121$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8520850%104 W · 104 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x056f…e487backed Yes14c120.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712030%36 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf89…a739backed Yes58c108$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.18633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed No52c94.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.428528.8%82 W · 203 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x520b…100abacked No60c93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc124…dc8cbacked Yes12c90$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.742035%7 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…bd99backed Yes59c85.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes13c83.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9917010%17 W · 153 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55b…27a4backed Yes43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Yes70c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d1d…7b71backed Yes49c77.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.18911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked No30c77.28$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.241214.1%5 W · 116 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-85%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1360…4509backed Yes58c69.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0b…b8b2backed No62c67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.791330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e4…7d32backed Yes57c63.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3680%0 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe5a1…3840backed Yes48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca9c…7311backed Yes45c59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.27837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No21c55.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.968332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x857a…bcbbbacked Yes38c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4262…abaabacked Yes56c49.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes40c49.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013440.3%54 W · 80 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae3…9e26backed Yes59c46.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d0…bccebacked No45c44.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da6…867fbacked No58c42.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No41c41.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.874148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x955c…990fbacked Yes47c41.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.547157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.27431.1%23 W · 51 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.74940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2472…7e36backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No44c35.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.733450%17 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+97.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28f9…c4dcbacked No63c31.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2eb…c299backed Yes62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x783b…6680backed Yes51c29.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb028…8686backed No52c28.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5623639.8%94 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7fe…1e42backed No62c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.643658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes47c27.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9319133%63 W · 128 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c8…be84backed Yes61c27.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.775650%28 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2c…488dbacked Yes54c25.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes39c25.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13476.4%3 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-75.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe08c…d74fbacked No62c24.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+77%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4169…98e9backed No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.252867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb38…ae5fbacked No58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+42.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.