Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec10ef1e52fbcb5c398fd3a6206836528fb19db4ca8273ddf7f032de85e3d5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pegulaof Swiatek, Pegula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf377…4159backed Pegula | 53c | 10,043$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.21 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Pegula | 54c | 8,796$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.3 | 362 | 47%170 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Swiatek | 46c | 6,270$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Swiatek | 46c | 6,201$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.76 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Swiatek | 46c | 5,248$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.4 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Swiatek | 47c | 5,111$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.53 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Swiatek | 46c | 4,315$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pegula | 52c | 3,391$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.66 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Pegula | 52c | 2,530$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.32 | 441 | 51.9%229 W · 212 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Pegula | 53c | 2,000$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.08 | 270 | 53.3%144 W · 126 L | -16.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Pegula | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 337 | 55.2%186 W · 151 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Pegula | 54c | 1,471$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.05 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Swiatek | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 691 | 41.1%284 W · 407 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pegula | 56c | 1,116$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.92 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Swiatek | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Swiatek | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Swiatek | 40c | 961.95$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 539 | 42.1%227 W · 312 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Pegula | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Pegula | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Swiatek | 50c | 793.66$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.83 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Pegula | 66c | 767.83$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.23 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Swiatek | 49c | 756.53$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.7 | 959 | 35.5%340 W · 619 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Pegula | 52c | 603.09$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.1 | 843 | 49.8%420 W · 423 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Pegula | 52c | 566.26$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.14 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pegula | 52c | 542.05$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.07 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…145fbacked Swiatek | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pegula | 50c | 481.5$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Swiatek | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…c10dbacked Swiatek | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed Swiatek | 48c | 407.34$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Pegula | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…2302backed Pegula | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Swiatek | 48c | 335$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.23 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Swiatek | 50c | 328.25$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Swiatek | 50c | 328.24$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pegula | 57c | 319.29$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…973cbacked Pegula | 52c | 299.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdc…c6abbacked Swiatek | 49c | 299.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.59 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Pegula | 56c | 234.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…dbbabacked Swiatek | 49c | 228.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed Pegula | 53c | 208.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Swiatek | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Pegula | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…33d0backed Swiatek | 49c | 189.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Pegula | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe116…6850backed Swiatek | 48c | 181.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Swiatek | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 219 | 59.8%131 W · 88 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…8b19backed Swiatek | 48c | 151.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748b…179cbacked Swiatek | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Swiatek | 48c | 148$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Pegula | 54c | 142.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Swiatek | 46c | 137.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Swiatek | 32c | 135.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Swiatek | 48c | 127.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 388 | 31.4%122 W · 266 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Swiatek | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…39c8backed Swiatek | 48c | 102.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…dcffbacked Swiatek | 49c | 92.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Swiatek | 48c | 88.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Pegula | 51c | 87.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Pegula | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 380 | 51.6%196 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Pegula | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 870 | 54.6%475 W · 395 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Pegula | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 930 | 55.9%520 W · 410 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Pegula | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Pegula | 51c | 73.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Swiatek | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Pegula | 77c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…4968backed Swiatek | 49c | 61.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…65ffbacked Swiatek | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…0b9abacked Swiatek | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…64f2backed Swiatek | 48c | 58.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…6268backed Swiatek | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked Swiatek | 36c | 54.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Pegula | 52c | 54.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Pegula | 52c | 49.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Pegula | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 39 | 82.1%32 W · 7 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…3386backed Swiatek | 48c | 46.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8384…3953backed Swiatek | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked Swiatek | 48c | 43.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Swiatek | 48c | 42.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…c014backed Swiatek | 48c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Swiatek | 47c | 40.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 423 | 45.9%194 W · 229 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Pegula | 55c | 39.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…7e63backed Swiatek | 48c | 38.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Swiatek | 49c | 37.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Pegula | 50c | 36.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…472dbacked Swiatek | 48c | 35.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Pegula | 62c | 35.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1,073 | 60.4%648 W · 425 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a7…df5bbacked Swiatek | 48c | 33.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…746cbacked Swiatek | 48c | 30.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Swiatek | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…a2fbbacked Swiatek | 48c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Pegula | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…9a9bbacked Pegula | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…e101backed Swiatek | 49c | 27.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Swiatek | 49c | 25.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Swiatek | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 176 | 57.4%101 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Pegula | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Pegula | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 186 | 64.5%120 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga SwiatekJessica Pegula won
- Jessica Pegula vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Pegula vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Pegula vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs SwiatekPegula won
- Set 2 Winner: Pegula vs SwiatekSwiatek won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.