South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cd0dc75c3a4b485b6f75314457c9a69bca292e7763b10675f20baddfe76f0cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 30,111$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.58 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 78c | 15,000$11,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.9 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 6c | 4,670$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.21 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,363$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.43 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,107$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,830$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.36 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 9c | 2,560$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 19c | 2,242$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.55 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 23c | 2,173$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 13c | 1,577$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 13c | 1,363$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.46 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 1,142$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.56 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 4c | 746.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 7c | 597.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 464.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 383.37$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 24c | 378.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 22c | 340.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 22c | 295.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 4c | 269.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Yes | 11c | 269.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 18c | 234.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 20c | 207.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 199.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 80c | 190.3$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 8c | 181.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 16c | 169.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yes | 9c | 124.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 13c | 111.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 106$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 20c | 93.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…e67fbacked Yes | 21c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 78c | 65.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 19c | 61.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked No | 80c | 47.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 80c | 45.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 79c | 43.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 78c | 25.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…76f0backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 78c | 19.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked No | 78c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-08-17?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.